Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 29th congressional district with roughly 51% of the vote, joined by fellow Democrat Angélica María Dueñas at about 25%. The solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley seat, rated safe or solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, favors the sitting representative who has raised over $670,000 compared with Dueñas's roughly $37,000. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns Rivas the highest implied probability of victory on November 3, 2026, while Dueñas and any other listed options trail substantially. Key variables that could still influence the outcome include turnout patterns, any late endorsements, and shifts in local voter priorities such as housing or economic issues before the general election.