Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and has announced his intention to seek another term. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing voter registration patterns, historical results, and the absence of viable Republican challengers. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold, though late-cycle developments such as an unexpected primary upset or national political shifts could theoretically alter dynamics before the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMA-02 Wahlsieger
MA-02 Wahlsieger
$35,182 Vol.
$35,182 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$35,182 Vol.
$35,182 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$23,458 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$11,723 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and has announced his intention to seek another term. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing voter registration patterns, historical results, and the absence of viable Republican challengers. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold, though late-cycle developments such as an unexpected primary upset or national political shifts could theoretically alter dynamics before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$35,182Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and has announced his intention to seek another term. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing voter registration patterns, historical results, and the absence of viable Republican challengers. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold, though late-cycle developments such as an unexpected primary upset or national political shifts could theoretically alter dynamics before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,182Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Jim McGovern, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with 68.6 percent in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, contest and has announced his intention to seek another term. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing voter registration patterns, historical results, and the absence of viable Republican challengers. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold, though late-cycle developments such as an unexpected primary upset or national political shifts could theoretically alter dynamics before the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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