Incumbent Jim McGovern holds a commanding lead in the MA-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic partisan lean, reflected in his 68 percent-plus vote shares in recent cycles and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary and faces no prominent Republican challenger ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with the absence of competitive GOP candidates in Massachusetts House races. Traders price the outcome at 94.5 percent for McGovern based on these structural factors and historical voting patterns in central Massachusetts. A credible Republican or independent contender mounting a well-funded campaign, or an unforeseen development affecting McGovern’s candidacy, could narrow the margin, though such shifts have not materialized in recent cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMA-02 Wahlsieger
MA-02 Wahlsieger
$63,336 Vol.
$63,336 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Republikanische Partei
5%
$63,336 Vol.
$63,336 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,228 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$28,108 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern holds a commanding lead in the MA-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic partisan lean, reflected in his 68 percent-plus vote shares in recent cycles and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary and faces no prominent Republican challenger ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with the absence of competitive GOP candidates in Massachusetts House races. Traders price the outcome at 94.5 percent for McGovern based on these structural factors and historical voting patterns in central Massachusetts. A credible Republican or independent contender mounting a well-funded campaign, or an unforeseen development affecting McGovern’s candidacy, could narrow the margin, though such shifts have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$63,336Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim McGovern holds a commanding lead in the MA-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic partisan lean, reflected in his 68 percent-plus vote shares in recent cycles and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary and faces no prominent Republican challenger ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with the absence of competitive GOP candidates in Massachusetts House races. Traders price the outcome at 94.5 percent for McGovern based on these structural factors and historical voting patterns in central Massachusetts. A credible Republican or independent contender mounting a well-funded campaign, or an unforeseen development affecting McGovern’s candidacy, could narrow the margin, though such shifts have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$63,336Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim McGovern holds a commanding lead in the MA-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic partisan lean, reflected in his 68 percent-plus vote shares in recent cycles and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary and faces no prominent Republican challenger ahead of the November 3 general election, consistent with the absence of competitive GOP candidates in Massachusetts House races. Traders price the outcome at 94.5 percent for McGovern based on these structural factors and historical voting patterns in central Massachusetts. A credible Republican or independent contender mounting a well-funded campaign, or an unforeseen development affecting McGovern’s candidacy, could narrow the margin, though such shifts have not materialized in recent cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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