New Jersey's 10th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27 and voter registration heavily skewed toward Democrats. Incumbent LaMonica McIver secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with nearly 85% of the vote, facing only token opposition before advancing to the November general election against Republican Carmen Bucco. The urban district, centered on Newark and surrounding areas in Essex, Hudson, and Union counties, has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political wave could theoretically narrow the gap in a low-turnout scenario.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNJ-10 Wahlsieger
NJ-10 Wahlsieger
$23,906 Vol.
$23,906 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
7%
$23,906 Vol.
$23,906 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$13,695 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$10,210 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 10th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27 and voter registration heavily skewed toward Democrats. Incumbent LaMonica McIver secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with nearly 85% of the vote, facing only token opposition before advancing to the November general election against Republican Carmen Bucco. The urban district, centered on Newark and surrounding areas in Essex, Hudson, and Union counties, has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political wave could theoretically narrow the gap in a low-turnout scenario.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$23,906Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 10th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27 and voter registration heavily skewed toward Democrats. Incumbent LaMonica McIver secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with nearly 85% of the vote, facing only token opposition before advancing to the November general election against Republican Carmen Bucco. The urban district, centered on Newark and surrounding areas in Essex, Hudson, and Union counties, has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political wave could theoretically narrow the gap in a low-turnout scenario.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$23,906Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 10th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27 and voter registration heavily skewed toward Democrats. Incumbent LaMonica McIver secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2, 2026 primary with nearly 85% of the vote, facing only token opposition before advancing to the November general election against Republican Carmen Bucco. The urban district, centered on Newark and surrounding areas in Essex, Hudson, and Union counties, has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political wave could theoretically narrow the gap in a low-turnout scenario.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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