New York’s 10th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Forecasters across the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 contest. Incumbent Dan Goldman faces a competitive June 23 Democratic primary against Brad Lander, who leads recent polling by wide margins, yet the eventual nominee is expected to prevail decisively in the general election against Republican Jennifer Moore. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with the district’s established voting patterns and absence of significant Republican infrastructure or polling support. A major unforeseen development, such as a late scandal or substantial shift in turnout, would be required to alter the current positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-10 Wahlsieger
NY-10 Wahlsieger
$44,500 Vol.
$44,500 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
2%
$44,500 Vol.
$44,500 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$12,095 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$32,405 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 10th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Forecasters across the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 contest. Incumbent Dan Goldman faces a competitive June 23 Democratic primary against Brad Lander, who leads recent polling by wide margins, yet the eventual nominee is expected to prevail decisively in the general election against Republican Jennifer Moore. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with the district’s established voting patterns and absence of significant Republican infrastructure or polling support. A major unforeseen development, such as a late scandal or substantial shift in turnout, would be required to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$44,500Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 10th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Forecasters across the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 contest. Incumbent Dan Goldman faces a competitive June 23 Democratic primary against Brad Lander, who leads recent polling by wide margins, yet the eventual nominee is expected to prevail decisively in the general election against Republican Jennifer Moore. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with the district’s established voting patterns and absence of significant Republican infrastructure or polling support. A major unforeseen development, such as a late scandal or substantial shift in turnout, would be required to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$44,500Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 10th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Forecasters across the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 contest. Incumbent Dan Goldman faces a competitive June 23 Democratic primary against Brad Lander, who leads recent polling by wide margins, yet the eventual nominee is expected to prevail decisively in the general election against Republican Jennifer Moore. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with the district’s established voting patterns and absence of significant Republican infrastructure or polling support. A major unforeseen development, such as a late scandal or substantial shift in turnout, would be required to alter the current positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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