Ohio's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, reflecting consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House cycles that underpins the 91 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Michael Rulli secured the GOP primary with a wide margin in early May 2026, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a crowded field on the same date. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still narrow the margin, though the district's structural lean limits such risks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOH-06 Wahlsieger
$22,964 Vol.
$22,964 Vol.
Republikanische Partei
91%
Demokratische Partei
8%
$22,964 Vol.
$22,964 Vol.
Republikanische Partei
91%
Demokratische Partei
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, reflecting consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House cycles that underpins the 91 percent trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Michael Rulli secured the GOP primary with a wide margin in early May 2026, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a crowded field on the same date. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a significant national political shift, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still narrow the margin, though the district's structural lean limits such risks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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