Incumbent Republican Mario Diaz-Balart seeks re-election in Florida’s 26th congressional district, where recent mid-decade redistricting signed into law in early May preserved a substantial Republican lean equivalent to roughly an 18-point Trump margin. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting durable partisan patterns and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. Democrats face a low-profile primary field with limited national recruitment ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, assigning the Republican nominee an 82% implied probability while the Democratic nominee sits at 16%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFL-26 Wahlsieger
FL-26 Wahlsieger
$28,893 Vol.
$28,893 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
82%
Demokratische Partei
16%
$28,893 Vol.
$28,893 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$13,394 Vol.
82%
Demokratische Partei
$15,499 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Diaz-Balart seeks re-election in Florida’s 26th congressional district, where recent mid-decade redistricting signed into law in early May preserved a substantial Republican lean equivalent to roughly an 18-point Trump margin. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting durable partisan patterns and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. Democrats face a low-profile primary field with limited national recruitment ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, assigning the Republican nominee an 82% implied probability while the Democratic nominee sits at 16%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$28,893Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Diaz-Balart seeks re-election in Florida’s 26th congressional district, where recent mid-decade redistricting signed into law in early May preserved a substantial Republican lean equivalent to roughly an 18-point Trump margin. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting durable partisan patterns and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. Democrats face a low-profile primary field with limited national recruitment ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, assigning the Republican nominee an 82% implied probability while the Democratic nominee sits at 16%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,893Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mario Diaz-Balart seeks re-election in Florida’s 26th congressional district, where recent mid-decade redistricting signed into law in early May preserved a substantial Republican lean equivalent to roughly an 18-point Trump margin. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting durable partisan patterns and the incumbent’s established fundraising and name recognition. Democrats face a low-profile primary field with limited national recruitment ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, assigning the Republican nominee an 82% implied probability while the Democratic nominee sits at 16%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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