**Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 92%+ Democratic probability.** She won the seat in 2024 with roughly 53% against Republican Lily Tang Williams and maintains consistent polling advantages, including 48-36% and 54-40% margins in early-to-mid 2026 surveys of likely and registered voters. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index, combined with Goodlander’s fundraising and name recognition as the sitting representative, underpins trader consensus. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the contest as Likely Democratic. The Republican primary field, headlined by a potential rematch with Williams, has yet to generate significant momentum or national attention. While the September 8, 2026 Democratic primary features several challengers, Goodlander remains the clear favorite to advance. Potential shifts could arise from a broad Republican midterm surge, unexpected primary volatility, or major candidate-specific developments closer to Election Day, though current evidence points to structural and polling stability favoring the Democratic nominee.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNH-02 Wahlsieger
NH-02 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
4. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
92%
Republikanische Partei
8%
NEU
NEU
4. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$725 Vol.
92%
Republikanische Partei
$4,023 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 92%+ Democratic probability.**
She won the seat in 2024 with roughly 53% against Republican Lily Tang Williams and maintains consistent polling advantages, including 48-36% and 54-40% margins in early-to-mid 2026 surveys of likely and registered voters. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index, combined with Goodlander’s fundraising and name recognition as the sitting representative, underpins trader consensus. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the contest as Likely Democratic.
The Republican primary field, headlined by a potential rematch with Williams, has yet to generate significant momentum or national attention. While the September 8, 2026 Democratic primary features several challengers, Goodlander remains the clear favorite to advance.
Potential shifts could arise from a broad Republican midterm surge, unexpected primary volatility, or major candidate-specific developments closer to Election Day, though current evidence points to structural and polling stability favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volumen
$4,748Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 92%+ Democratic probability.**
She won the seat in 2024 with roughly 53% against Republican Lily Tang Williams and maintains consistent polling advantages, including 48-36% and 54-40% margins in early-to-mid 2026 surveys of likely and registered voters. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index, combined with Goodlander’s fundraising and name recognition as the sitting representative, underpins trader consensus. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the contest as Likely Democratic.
The Republican primary field, headlined by a potential rematch with Williams, has yet to generate significant momentum or national attention. While the September 8, 2026 Democratic primary features several challengers, Goodlander remains the clear favorite to advance.
Potential shifts could arise from a broad Republican midterm surge, unexpected primary volatility, or major candidate-specific developments closer to Election Day, though current evidence points to structural and polling stability favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,748Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s 92%+ Democratic probability.** She won the seat in 2024 with roughly 53% against Republican Lily Tang Williams and maintains consistent polling advantages, including 48-36% and 54-40% margins in early-to-mid 2026 surveys of likely and registered voters. The district’s D+2 partisan voter index, combined with Goodlander’s fundraising and name recognition as the sitting representative, underpins trader consensus. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the contest as Likely Democratic. The Republican primary field, headlined by a potential rematch with Williams, has yet to generate significant momentum or national attention. While the September 8, 2026 Democratic primary features several challengers, Goodlander remains the clear favorite to advance. Potential shifts could arise from a broad Republican midterm surge, unexpected primary volatility, or major candidate-specific developments closer to Election Day, though current evidence points to structural and polling stability favoring the Democratic nominee.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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