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icon for NH-01 Wahlsieger
Politik·Midterms

NH-01 Wahlsieger

icon for NH-01 Wahlsieger
Politik·Midterms

NH-01 Wahlsieger

Polymarket

$15,120 Vol.

Polymarket

$15,120 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen (D)

$7,719 Vol.

91%

Anthony DiLorenzo (R)

$7,401 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Stefany Shaheen secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open 1st Congressional District seat on September 8 after a narrow primary win over Maura Sullivan, benefiting from strong name recognition tied to her mother, retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, and establishment endorsements. The district, vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, carries a Democratic lean per recent forecaster ratings and 2024 presidential results, with higher Democratic primary turnout underscoring party strength. Anthony DiLorenzo’s Republican primary victory, backed by a Trump endorsement, positions him as a business-oriented challenger in a seat Republicans view as a target, yet the current trader consensus reflects these structural and recent primary dynamics. Late-cycle developments such as national political shifts, candidate fundraising, or turnout patterns in key areas like Manchester and Strafford County could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,120
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Stefany Shaheen secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s open 1st Congressional District seat on September 8 after a narrow primary win over Maura Sullivan, benefiting from strong name recognition tied to her mother, retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, and establishment endorsements. The district, vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, carries a Democratic lean per recent forecaster ratings and 2024 presidential results, with higher Democratic primary turnout underscoring party strength. Anthony DiLorenzo’s Republican primary victory, backed by a Trump endorsement, positions him as a business-oriented challenger in a seat Republicans view as a target, yet the current trader consensus reflects these structural and recent primary dynamics. Late-cycle developments such as national political shifts, candidate fundraising, or turnout patterns in key areas like Manchester and Strafford County could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,120
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den NH-02 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den NH-02 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

93%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Abgeordnetensitz ME-01 gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Abgeordnetensitz ME-01 gewinnen?

95%
Ja
icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den NE-01 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den NE-01 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

84%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„NH-01 Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Stefany Shaheen (D)" mit 91%, gefolgt von „Anthony DiLorenzo (R)" mit 10%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 91¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 91% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „NH-01 Wahlsieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $15.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „NH-01 Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „NH-01 Wahlsieger" ist „Stefany Shaheen (D)" mit 91%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 91% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Anthony DiLorenzo (R)" mit 10%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „NH-01 Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.