Republican incumbent Michael Cloud secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 70 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him for the November general election against Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd in Texas’s 27th congressional district. The seat carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+10, reflecting consistent Republican strength in the Coastal Bend region and surrounding counties, reinforced by prior election results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Republican. This baseline, combined with limited recent polling or campaign developments indicating a shift, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. A national Democratic surge, unexpected turnout changes among key voting blocs, or late-cycle candidate-specific developments could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural lean limits such upside absent major catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-27 Wahlsieger
TX-27 Wahlsieger
$31,209 Vol.
$31,209 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
91%
Demokratische Partei
9%
$31,209 Vol.
$31,209 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$20,243 Vol.
91%
Demokratische Partei
$10,966 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Cloud secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 70 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him for the November general election against Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd in Texas’s 27th congressional district. The seat carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+10, reflecting consistent Republican strength in the Coastal Bend region and surrounding counties, reinforced by prior election results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Republican. This baseline, combined with limited recent polling or campaign developments indicating a shift, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. A national Democratic surge, unexpected turnout changes among key voting blocs, or late-cycle candidate-specific developments could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural lean limits such upside absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$31,209Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Cloud secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 70 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him for the November general election against Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd in Texas’s 27th congressional district. The seat carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+10, reflecting consistent Republican strength in the Coastal Bend region and surrounding counties, reinforced by prior election results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Republican. This baseline, combined with limited recent polling or campaign developments indicating a shift, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. A national Democratic surge, unexpected turnout changes among key voting blocs, or late-cycle candidate-specific developments could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural lean limits such upside absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$31,209Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Michael Cloud secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 70 percent of the vote against a single challenger, positioning him for the November general election against Democratic nominee Tanya Lloyd in Texas’s 27th congressional district. The seat carries a Partisan Voter Index of R+10, reflecting consistent Republican strength in the Coastal Bend region and surrounding counties, reinforced by prior election results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Republican. This baseline, combined with limited recent polling or campaign developments indicating a shift, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory. A national Democratic surge, unexpected turnout changes among key voting blocs, or late-cycle candidate-specific developments could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural lean limits such upside absent major catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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