Québec Solidaire maintains competitive positioning in several Montreal ridings ahead of the October 5 general election, with recent seat projections from 338Canada and Qc125 allocating the party a mean of five seats in a range of two to ten. Current polling aggregates place QS support at roughly 8–11 percent provincewide, concentrated in urban strongholds such as Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, where the party holds safe or likely status. These localized advantages, combined with the party’s established voter base in francophone and progressive districts, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent implied probability that QS secures at least one seat. The election call on August 27 has not altered these structural patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
94% Chance
NEU
NEU
5. Okt. 2026
Ja
94% Chance
NEU
NEU
5. Okt. 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec Solidaire maintains competitive positioning in several Montreal ridings ahead of the October 5 general election, with recent seat projections from 338Canada and Qc125 allocating the party a mean of five seats in a range of two to ten. Current polling aggregates place QS support at roughly 8–11 percent provincewide, concentrated in urban strongholds such as Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, where the party holds safe or likely status. These localized advantages, combined with the party’s established voter base in francophone and progressive districts, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent implied probability that QS secures at least one seat. The election call on August 27 has not altered these structural patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volumen
$258Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec Solidaire maintains competitive positioning in several Montreal ridings ahead of the October 5 general election, with recent seat projections from 338Canada and Qc125 allocating the party a mean of five seats in a range of two to ten. Current polling aggregates place QS support at roughly 8–11 percent provincewide, concentrated in urban strongholds such as Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, where the party holds safe or likely status. These localized advantages, combined with the party’s established voter base in francophone and progressive districts, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent implied probability that QS secures at least one seat. The election call on August 27 has not altered these structural patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$258Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x65070BE91...Québec Solidaire maintains competitive positioning in several Montreal ridings ahead of the October 5 general election, with recent seat projections from 338Canada and Qc125 allocating the party a mean of five seats in a range of two to ten. Current polling aggregates place QS support at roughly 8–11 percent provincewide, concentrated in urban strongholds such as Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, where the party holds safe or likely status. These localized advantages, combined with the party’s established voter base in francophone and progressive districts, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent implied probability that QS secures at least one seat. The election call on August 27 has not altered these structural patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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