Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary market at 74.5% amid an open-seat contest created by Seth Moulton’s Senate bid. Traders cite his substantial fundraising edge, with over $3.5 million raised by late March compared to Tram Nguyen’s roughly $430,000, along with prior federal experience and broader name recognition. A late-May campaign poll showed Nguyen ahead at 28% to Koh’s 18% among likely Democratic primary voters, yet market pricing remains anchored on Koh, reflecting assessments of resource advantages and historical patterns in crowded Massachusetts primaries. Nguyen holds second at 20.3% on momentum from recent internal surveys, while lower-priced contenders trail due to limited visibility and funding. The September 1 primary leaves time for shifts in endorsements or voter turnout in the North Shore district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDan Koh 74%
Tram Nguyen 20.3%
Kevin Larivee 5.0%
Mariah Lancaster 2.4%
$40,039 Vol.
$40,039 Vol.
Dan Koh
74%
Tram Nguyen
20%
Kevin Larivee
5%
Mariah Lancaster
2%
Rachel Creemers
2%
Beth Andres-Beck
2%
John Beccia
2%
Seth Moulton
7%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
1%
Rick Jakious
1%
Dominick Pangallo
<1%
Diann Slavit Baylis
<1%
Dan Koh 74%
Tram Nguyen 20.3%
Kevin Larivee 5.0%
Mariah Lancaster 2.4%
$40,039 Vol.
$40,039 Vol.
Dan Koh
74%
Tram Nguyen
20%
Kevin Larivee
5%
Mariah Lancaster
2%
Rachel Creemers
2%
Beth Andres-Beck
2%
John Beccia
2%
Seth Moulton
7%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
1%
Rick Jakious
1%
Dominick Pangallo
<1%
Diann Slavit Baylis
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Dan Koh leads the MA-06 Democratic primary market at 74.5% amid an open-seat contest created by Seth Moulton’s Senate bid. Traders cite his substantial fundraising edge, with over $3.5 million raised by late March compared to Tram Nguyen’s roughly $430,000, along with prior federal experience and broader name recognition. A late-May campaign poll showed Nguyen ahead at 28% to Koh’s 18% among likely Democratic primary voters, yet market pricing remains anchored on Koh, reflecting assessments of resource advantages and historical patterns in crowded Massachusetts primaries. Nguyen holds second at 20.3% on momentum from recent internal surveys, while lower-priced contenders trail due to limited visibility and funding. The September 1 primary leaves time for shifts in endorsements or voter turnout in the North Shore district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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