Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced comfortably from Washington's August 4 top-two primary to face Republican Doug Basler in the November general election for the 9th congressional district. The district's strong Democratic lean, consistent with its voting patterns in prior cycles, underpins the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Smith's established incumbency, fundraising edge, and primary performance exceeding 47% have reinforced trader expectations. Basler's advancement as the top Republican reflects limited opposition in the primary, yet the seat's partisan composition and historical margins limit his path. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still shift outcomes before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWA-09 Wahlsieger
WA-09 Wahlsieger
$28,906 Vol.
$28,906 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$28,906 Vol.
$28,906 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$11,350 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$17,556 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced comfortably from Washington's August 4 top-two primary to face Republican Doug Basler in the November general election for the 9th congressional district. The district's strong Democratic lean, consistent with its voting patterns in prior cycles, underpins the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Smith's established incumbency, fundraising edge, and primary performance exceeding 47% have reinforced trader expectations. Basler's advancement as the top Republican reflects limited opposition in the primary, yet the seat's partisan composition and historical margins limit his path. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still shift outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$28,906Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced comfortably from Washington's August 4 top-two primary to face Republican Doug Basler in the November general election for the 9th congressional district. The district's strong Democratic lean, consistent with its voting patterns in prior cycles, underpins the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Smith's established incumbency, fundraising edge, and primary performance exceeding 47% have reinforced trader expectations. Basler's advancement as the top Republican reflects limited opposition in the primary, yet the seat's partisan composition and historical margins limit his path. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still shift outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,906Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced comfortably from Washington's August 4 top-two primary to face Republican Doug Basler in the November general election for the 9th congressional district. The district's strong Democratic lean, consistent with its voting patterns in prior cycles, underpins the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Smith's established incumbency, fundraising edge, and primary performance exceeding 47% have reinforced trader expectations. Basler's advancement as the top Republican reflects limited opposition in the primary, yet the seat's partisan composition and historical margins limit his path. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still shift outcomes before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen