Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier’s commanding 53.8% finish in Washington’s August 4 top-two primary, far ahead of Republican Spencer Meline’s 15.9%, has anchored trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the November 3 general election for WA-08. The district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index, driven by suburban King County tech corridors and shifting demographics, has supported Schrier’s consistent margins since flipping the seat in 2018. Her substantial fundraising edge and established constituent focus on healthcare and public lands reinforce the position against a lesser-funded challenger. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic. Late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, sharp national realignment, or turnout collapse could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$22,656 Vol.
$22,656 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Kim Schrier (D)
97%
Spencer Meline (R)
2%
$22,656 Vol.
$22,656 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Kim Schrier (D)
$9,508 Vol.
97%
Spencer Meline (R)
$13,148 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier’s commanding 53.8% finish in Washington’s August 4 top-two primary, far ahead of Republican Spencer Meline’s 15.9%, has anchored trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the November 3 general election for WA-08. The district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index, driven by suburban King County tech corridors and shifting demographics, has supported Schrier’s consistent margins since flipping the seat in 2018. Her substantial fundraising edge and established constituent focus on healthcare and public lands reinforce the position against a lesser-funded challenger. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic. Late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, sharp national realignment, or turnout collapse could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volumen
$22,656Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier’s commanding 53.8% finish in Washington’s August 4 top-two primary, far ahead of Republican Spencer Meline’s 15.9%, has anchored trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the November 3 general election for WA-08. The district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index, driven by suburban King County tech corridors and shifting demographics, has supported Schrier’s consistent margins since flipping the seat in 2018. Her substantial fundraising edge and established constituent focus on healthcare and public lands reinforce the position against a lesser-funded challenger. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic. Late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, sharp national realignment, or turnout collapse could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,656Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier’s commanding 53.8% finish in Washington’s August 4 top-two primary, far ahead of Republican Spencer Meline’s 15.9%, has anchored trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the November 3 general election for WA-08. The district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index, driven by suburban King County tech corridors and shifting demographics, has supported Schrier’s consistent margins since flipping the seat in 2018. Her substantial fundraising edge and established constituent focus on healthcare and public lands reinforce the position against a lesser-funded challenger. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic. Late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, sharp national realignment, or turnout collapse could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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