The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race between incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford remains tightly contested, with trader consensus near even odds reflecting repeated polling dead heats and high undecided shares. Recent primaries on June 9 confirmed both nominees with minimal intra-party opposition, while surveys from Emerson College and Noble Predictive Insights showed the candidates essentially tied among likely voters, consistent with toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from major forecasters. Nevada's swing-state profile, driven by Clark County's urban electorate and rural areas, sustains the balance amid shifting turnout patterns and economic conditions affecting independents and key demographics. Late-cycle developments such as campaign events, turnout mobilization, or state-specific economic indicators could widen the margin ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$25,688 Vol.
$25,688 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
51%
Republikaner
50%
$25,688 Vol.
$25,688 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
$6,534 Vol.
51%
Republikaner
$19,154 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race between incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford remains tightly contested, with trader consensus near even odds reflecting repeated polling dead heats and high undecided shares. Recent primaries on June 9 confirmed both nominees with minimal intra-party opposition, while surveys from Emerson College and Noble Predictive Insights showed the candidates essentially tied among likely voters, consistent with toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from major forecasters. Nevada's swing-state profile, driven by Clark County's urban electorate and rural areas, sustains the balance amid shifting turnout patterns and economic conditions affecting independents and key demographics. Late-cycle developments such as campaign events, turnout mobilization, or state-specific economic indicators could widen the margin ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$25,688Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race between incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford remains tightly contested, with trader consensus near even odds reflecting repeated polling dead heats and high undecided shares. Recent primaries on June 9 confirmed both nominees with minimal intra-party opposition, while surveys from Emerson College and Noble Predictive Insights showed the candidates essentially tied among likely voters, consistent with toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from major forecasters. Nevada's swing-state profile, driven by Clark County's urban electorate and rural areas, sustains the balance amid shifting turnout patterns and economic conditions affecting independents and key demographics. Late-cycle developments such as campaign events, turnout mobilization, or state-specific economic indicators could widen the margin ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$25,688Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race between incumbent Republican Governor Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford remains tightly contested, with trader consensus near even odds reflecting repeated polling dead heats and high undecided shares. Recent primaries on June 9 confirmed both nominees with minimal intra-party opposition, while surveys from Emerson College and Noble Predictive Insights showed the candidates essentially tied among likely voters, consistent with toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from major forecasters. Nevada's swing-state profile, driven by Clark County's urban electorate and rural areas, sustains the balance amid shifting turnout patterns and economic conditions affecting independents and key demographics. Late-cycle developments such as campaign events, turnout mobilization, or state-specific economic indicators could widen the margin ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen