Delaware’s at-large congressional district has consistently favored Democratic candidates, reinforced by incumbent Sarah McBride’s 2024 victory and her status as the presumptive 2026 nominee. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent probability of retaining the seat because the state’s voter registration edge, urban and suburban turnout patterns, and absence of a credible Republican challenger create a sizable structural advantage. Primary elections remain scheduled for September 2026 and the general election for November, leaving time for developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican recruit to narrow the gap. Absent such events, current positioning reflects established partisan baselines and limited contestation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWahlsieger bei den DE-AL-Hauswahlen
Wahlsieger bei den DE-AL-Hauswahlen
$10,775 Vol.
$10,775 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
7%
$10,775 Vol.
$10,775 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$2,779 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$7,996 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district has consistently favored Democratic candidates, reinforced by incumbent Sarah McBride’s 2024 victory and her status as the presumptive 2026 nominee. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent probability of retaining the seat because the state’s voter registration edge, urban and suburban turnout patterns, and absence of a credible Republican challenger create a sizable structural advantage. Primary elections remain scheduled for September 2026 and the general election for November, leaving time for developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican recruit to narrow the gap. Absent such events, current positioning reflects established partisan baselines and limited contestation.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$10,775Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district has consistently favored Democratic candidates, reinforced by incumbent Sarah McBride’s 2024 victory and her status as the presumptive 2026 nominee. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent probability of retaining the seat because the state’s voter registration edge, urban and suburban turnout patterns, and absence of a credible Republican challenger create a sizable structural advantage. Primary elections remain scheduled for September 2026 and the general election for November, leaving time for developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican recruit to narrow the gap. Absent such events, current positioning reflects established partisan baselines and limited contestation.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,775Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large congressional district has consistently favored Democratic candidates, reinforced by incumbent Sarah McBride’s 2024 victory and her status as the presumptive 2026 nominee. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent probability of retaining the seat because the state’s voter registration edge, urban and suburban turnout patterns, and absence of a credible Republican challenger create a sizable structural advantage. Primary elections remain scheduled for September 2026 and the general election for November, leaving time for developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican recruit to narrow the gap. Absent such events, current positioning reflects established partisan baselines and limited contestation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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