Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and carries Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat became open when incumbent Haley Stevens opted to pursue the U.S. Senate rather than seek another House term, shifting focus to the August 4 Democratic primary where state Senate leader Jeremy Moss holds a commanding position. A Republican nominee is expected to emerge from the concurrent primary but faces structural headwinds in this Oakland County-based district. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with the district's recent voting patterns and the absence of developments that would alter its partisan balance. A national political shift or unforeseen primary outcome could still introduce variability before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMI-11 Wahlsieger
$56,265 Vol.
$56,265 Vol.
Demokratische Partei
96%
Republikanische Partei
1%
$56,265 Vol.
$56,265 Vol.
Demokratische Partei
96%
Republikanische Partei
1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and carries Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat became open when incumbent Haley Stevens opted to pursue the U.S. Senate rather than seek another House term, shifting focus to the August 4 Democratic primary where state Senate leader Jeremy Moss holds a commanding position. A Republican nominee is expected to emerge from the concurrent primary but faces structural headwinds in this Oakland County-based district. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with the district's recent voting patterns and the absence of developments that would alter its partisan balance. A national political shift or unforeseen primary outcome could still introduce variability before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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