Michigan's 12th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent election results favoring the party. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib, first elected in 2018 and re-elected comfortably in prior cycles, faces limited opposition in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary and the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Hooper has filed but confronts structural barriers in a district encompassing parts of Wayne and Oakland counties with heavy Democratic voter registration and turnout patterns. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset or external events altering turnout could theoretically narrow margins, though current conditions show no such shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMI-12 Wahlsieger
MI-12 Wahlsieger
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$17,714 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$11,175 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent election results favoring the party. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib, first elected in 2018 and re-elected comfortably in prior cycles, faces limited opposition in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary and the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Hooper has filed but confronts structural barriers in a district encompassing parts of Wayne and Oakland counties with heavy Democratic voter registration and turnout patterns. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset or external events altering turnout could theoretically narrow margins, though current conditions show no such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$28,890Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent election results favoring the party. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib, first elected in 2018 and re-elected comfortably in prior cycles, faces limited opposition in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary and the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Hooper has filed but confronts structural barriers in a district encompassing parts of Wayne and Oakland counties with heavy Democratic voter registration and turnout patterns. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset or external events altering turnout could theoretically narrow margins, though current conditions show no such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,890Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent election results favoring the party. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib, first elected in 2018 and re-elected comfortably in prior cycles, faces limited opposition in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary and the November 3 general election. Republican nominee James Hooper has filed but confronts structural barriers in a district encompassing parts of Wayne and Oakland counties with heavy Democratic voter registration and turnout patterns. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset or external events altering turnout could theoretically narrow margins, though current conditions show no such shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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