The strong Democratic lean of Michigan's 12th congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib, first elected in 2018 and reelected by wide margins including nearly 70 percent in the prior cycle, faces a Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, against limited challengers, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Weak Republican recruitment and fundraising in this Detroit- and Dearborn-centered seat have left little competitive opposition. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong Republican candidate, a major national political shift, or an unexpected primary upset altering the general-election matchup, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMI-12 Wahlsieger
MI-12 Wahlsieger
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
5%
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$17,714 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$11,175 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Michigan's 12th congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib, first elected in 2018 and reelected by wide margins including nearly 70 percent in the prior cycle, faces a Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, against limited challengers, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Weak Republican recruitment and fundraising in this Detroit- and Dearborn-centered seat have left little competitive opposition. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong Republican candidate, a major national political shift, or an unexpected primary upset altering the general-election matchup, though no such developments have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$28,890Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Michigan's 12th congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib, first elected in 2018 and reelected by wide margins including nearly 70 percent in the prior cycle, faces a Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, against limited challengers, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Weak Republican recruitment and fundraising in this Detroit- and Dearborn-centered seat have left little competitive opposition. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong Republican candidate, a major national political shift, or an unexpected primary upset altering the general-election matchup, though no such developments have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,890Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Michigan's 12th congressional district, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib, first elected in 2018 and reelected by wide margins including nearly 70 percent in the prior cycle, faces a Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, against limited challengers, with the general election set for November 3, 2026. Weak Republican recruitment and fundraising in this Detroit- and Dearborn-centered seat have left little competitive opposition. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong Republican candidate, a major national political shift, or an unexpected primary upset altering the general-election matchup, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen