Louisiana’s newly enacted congressional map, approved by the state Senate in mid-May 2026, redraws the 6th district around predominantly white Baton Rouge-area communities, removing its majority-Black character and altering its partisan composition. This redistricting, pursued by Republican lawmakers to increase GOP opportunities statewide, has shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the November 3 open primary and potential December runoff. Incumbent Democratic Representative Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican challengers in the nonpartisan primary under the revised lines, which carry a more competitive or Republican-leaning profile compared with prior boundaries. The market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican Party reflects this structural change and the absence of offsetting developments in the weeks since passage.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLA-06 Wahlsieger
LA-06 Wahlsieger
$58,169 Vol.
$58,169 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
83%
Demokratische Partei
16%
$58,169 Vol.
$58,169 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$31,586 Vol.
83%
Demokratische Partei
$26,583 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s newly enacted congressional map, approved by the state Senate in mid-May 2026, redraws the 6th district around predominantly white Baton Rouge-area communities, removing its majority-Black character and altering its partisan composition. This redistricting, pursued by Republican lawmakers to increase GOP opportunities statewide, has shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the November 3 open primary and potential December runoff. Incumbent Democratic Representative Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican challengers in the nonpartisan primary under the revised lines, which carry a more competitive or Republican-leaning profile compared with prior boundaries. The market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican Party reflects this structural change and the absence of offsetting developments in the weeks since passage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$58,169Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s newly enacted congressional map, approved by the state Senate in mid-May 2026, redraws the 6th district around predominantly white Baton Rouge-area communities, removing its majority-Black character and altering its partisan composition. This redistricting, pursued by Republican lawmakers to increase GOP opportunities statewide, has shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the November 3 open primary and potential December runoff. Incumbent Democratic Representative Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican challengers in the nonpartisan primary under the revised lines, which carry a more competitive or Republican-leaning profile compared with prior boundaries. The market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican Party reflects this structural change and the absence of offsetting developments in the weeks since passage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$58,169Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s newly enacted congressional map, approved by the state Senate in mid-May 2026, redraws the 6th district around predominantly white Baton Rouge-area communities, removing its majority-Black character and altering its partisan composition. This redistricting, pursued by Republican lawmakers to increase GOP opportunities statewide, has shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the November 3 open primary and potential December runoff. Incumbent Democratic Representative Cleo Fields faces multiple Republican challengers in the nonpartisan primary under the revised lines, which carry a more competitive or Republican-leaning profile compared with prior boundaries. The market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican Party reflects this structural change and the absence of offsetting developments in the weeks since passage.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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