Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+17 to D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces only intra-party opposition from Renada Collins in the November 2026 primary, with no Republican candidates having qualified for the ballot. Ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid Democratic, underscoring limited crossover appeal in a district anchored by New Orleans and surrounding parishes. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A late Republican entrant, significant redistricting shift before qualifying closes in August, or unexpected primary outcome could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLA-02 Wahlsieger
LA-02 Wahlsieger
$43,472 Vol.
$43,472 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
93%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$43,472 Vol.
$43,472 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$23,335 Vol.
93%
Republikanische Partei
$20,136 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+17 to D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces only intra-party opposition from Renada Collins in the November 2026 primary, with no Republican candidates having qualified for the ballot. Ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid Democratic, underscoring limited crossover appeal in a district anchored by New Orleans and surrounding parishes. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A late Republican entrant, significant redistricting shift before qualifying closes in August, or unexpected primary outcome could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$43,472Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+17 to D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces only intra-party opposition from Renada Collins in the November 2026 primary, with no Republican candidates having qualified for the ballot. Ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid Democratic, underscoring limited crossover appeal in a district anchored by New Orleans and surrounding parishes. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A late Republican entrant, significant redistricting shift before qualifying closes in August, or unexpected primary outcome could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$43,472Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+17 to D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter faces only intra-party opposition from Renada Collins in the November 2026 primary, with no Republican candidates having qualified for the ballot. Ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid Democratic, underscoring limited crossover appeal in a district anchored by New Orleans and surrounding parishes. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A late Republican entrant, significant redistricting shift before qualifying closes in August, or unexpected primary outcome could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized in the past month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen