Louisiana's 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat based in the New Orleans suburbs, where incumbent Steve Scalise holds a decisive edge as House Majority Leader with extensive fundraising, endorsements including from former President Trump, and consistent reelection margins above 65 percent in prior cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary that also serves as the first round under the state's adjusted system following the Supreme Court redistricting ruling. Democratic challengers such as Lauren Jewett have raised far less and face structural headwinds in a district with limited swing potential. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a major scandal, health event affecting Scalise, or unusually high opposition turnout could still shift the outcome before the December general if required.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLA-01 Wahlsieger
LA-01 Wahlsieger
$52,223 Vol.
$52,223 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
96%
Demokratische Partei
5%
$52,223 Vol.
$52,223 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$22,399 Vol.
96%
Demokratische Partei
$29,823 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat based in the New Orleans suburbs, where incumbent Steve Scalise holds a decisive edge as House Majority Leader with extensive fundraising, endorsements including from former President Trump, and consistent reelection margins above 65 percent in prior cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary that also serves as the first round under the state's adjusted system following the Supreme Court redistricting ruling. Democratic challengers such as Lauren Jewett have raised far less and face structural headwinds in a district with limited swing potential. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a major scandal, health event affecting Scalise, or unusually high opposition turnout could still shift the outcome before the December general if required.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$52,223Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat based in the New Orleans suburbs, where incumbent Steve Scalise holds a decisive edge as House Majority Leader with extensive fundraising, endorsements including from former President Trump, and consistent reelection margins above 65 percent in prior cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary that also serves as the first round under the state's adjusted system following the Supreme Court redistricting ruling. Democratic challengers such as Lauren Jewett have raised far less and face structural headwinds in a district with limited swing potential. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a major scandal, health event affecting Scalise, or unusually high opposition turnout could still shift the outcome before the December general if required.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$52,223Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat based in the New Orleans suburbs, where incumbent Steve Scalise holds a decisive edge as House Majority Leader with extensive fundraising, endorsements including from former President Trump, and consistent reelection margins above 65 percent in prior cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary that also serves as the first round under the state's adjusted system following the Supreme Court redistricting ruling. Democratic challengers such as Lauren Jewett have raised far less and face structural headwinds in a district with limited swing potential. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a major scandal, health event affecting Scalise, or unusually high opposition turnout could still shift the outcome before the December general if required.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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