Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, anchored by its R+19 partisan voter index and consistent support for the incumbent party in recent cycles. Long-serving Representative Steve Scalise faces limited primary opposition and a Democratic challenger in a district that delivered strong Republican margins in the prior election, producing trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. The jungle primary on November 3, 2026, followed by a possible December runoff, is expected to favor the Republican nominee given historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal involving the frontrunner or a surge in opposition mobilization could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established voting behavior in the Northshore and Jefferson Parish areas.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLA-01 Wahlsieger
LA-01 Wahlsieger
$37,600 Vol.
$37,600 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
91%
Demokratische Partei
9%
$37,600 Vol.
$37,600 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$16,105 Vol.
91%
Demokratische Partei
$21,495 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, anchored by its R+19 partisan voter index and consistent support for the incumbent party in recent cycles. Long-serving Representative Steve Scalise faces limited primary opposition and a Democratic challenger in a district that delivered strong Republican margins in the prior election, producing trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. The jungle primary on November 3, 2026, followed by a possible December runoff, is expected to favor the Republican nominee given historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal involving the frontrunner or a surge in opposition mobilization could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established voting behavior in the Northshore and Jefferson Parish areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$37,600Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, anchored by its R+19 partisan voter index and consistent support for the incumbent party in recent cycles. Long-serving Representative Steve Scalise faces limited primary opposition and a Democratic challenger in a district that delivered strong Republican margins in the prior election, producing trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. The jungle primary on November 3, 2026, followed by a possible December runoff, is expected to favor the Republican nominee given historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal involving the frontrunner or a surge in opposition mobilization could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established voting behavior in the Northshore and Jefferson Parish areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$37,600Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 1st congressional district remains one of the most reliably Republican seats in the House, anchored by its R+19 partisan voter index and consistent support for the incumbent party in recent cycles. Long-serving Representative Steve Scalise faces limited primary opposition and a Democratic challenger in a district that delivered strong Republican margins in the prior election, producing trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. The jungle primary on November 3, 2026, followed by a possible December runoff, is expected to favor the Republican nominee given historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal involving the frontrunner or a surge in opposition mobilization could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established voting behavior in the Northshore and Jefferson Parish areas.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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