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Politik·4. Nov. Wahlen

AK-AL Wahlsieger

icon for AK-AL Wahlsieger
Politik·4. Nov. Wahlen

AK-AL Wahlsieger

Polymarket

$41,025 Vol.

Polymarket

$41,025 Vol.

Republikanische Partei

$10,815 Vol.

79%

Demokratische Partei

$30,210 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich advanced from Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner and maintains a substantial lead in subsequent polling against independent Bill Hill, the main general-election challenger. Recent surveys show Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and ranked-choice scenarios, consistent with the state’s Republican lean and his 2024 victory. The Democratic field weakened after prominent candidate Matt Schultz withdrew, leaving lower-profile contenders with minimal support. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting Begich’s fundraising edge, name recognition, and the limited path for non-Republican consolidation under ranked-choice voting. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling factors heading into November.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$41,025
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich advanced from Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary as the clear frontrunner and maintains a substantial lead in subsequent polling against independent Bill Hill, the main general-election challenger. Recent surveys show Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and ranked-choice scenarios, consistent with the state’s Republican lean and his 2024 victory. The Democratic field weakened after prominent candidate Matt Schultz withdrew, leaving lower-profile contenders with minimal support. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting Begich’s fundraising edge, name recognition, and the limited path for non-Republican consolidation under ranked-choice voting. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling factors heading into November.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$41,025
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den AL-06 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den AL-06 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

94%
Ja
icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz des Repräsentantenhauses AL-01 gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz des Repräsentantenhauses AL-01 gewinnen?

95%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz des Wahlkreises AL-07 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz des Wahlkreises AL-07 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

98%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„AK-AL Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Republikanische Partei" mit 79%, gefolgt von „Demokratische Partei" mit 7%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 79¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 79% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „AK-AL Wahlsieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $41K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 27, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „AK-AL Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „AK-AL Wahlsieger" ist „Republikanische Partei" mit 79%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 79% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Demokratische Partei" mit 7%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „AK-AL Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.