Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democrat and a senior House leader, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with overwhelming support in New York’s 8th congressional district, a Brooklyn-based seat with consistent Democratic voting patterns and favorable demographics for the party. Traders assign the Republican nominee just 4.8% implied probability because no competitive challenger has emerged to alter the race’s fundamentals ahead of the November general election. Historical margins in the district and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, sudden health development affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen redistricting changes could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-08 Wahlsieger
NY-08 Wahlsieger
$32,542 Vol.
$32,542 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
5%
$32,542 Vol.
$32,542 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$14,088 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$18,454 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democrat and a senior House leader, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with overwhelming support in New York’s 8th congressional district, a Brooklyn-based seat with consistent Democratic voting patterns and favorable demographics for the party. Traders assign the Republican nominee just 4.8% implied probability because no competitive challenger has emerged to alter the race’s fundamentals ahead of the November general election. Historical margins in the district and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, sudden health development affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen redistricting changes could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$32,542Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democrat and a senior House leader, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with overwhelming support in New York’s 8th congressional district, a Brooklyn-based seat with consistent Democratic voting patterns and favorable demographics for the party. Traders assign the Republican nominee just 4.8% implied probability because no competitive challenger has emerged to alter the race’s fundamentals ahead of the November general election. Historical margins in the district and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, sudden health development affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen redistricting changes could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,542Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democrat and a senior House leader, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with overwhelming support in New York’s 8th congressional district, a Brooklyn-based seat with consistent Democratic voting patterns and favorable demographics for the party. Traders assign the Republican nominee just 4.8% implied probability because no competitive challenger has emerged to alter the race’s fundamentals ahead of the November general election. Historical margins in the district and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, sudden health development affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen redistricting changes could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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