New Jersey’s 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and Democratic voter registration exceeding 50 percent. Incumbent Rob Menendez secured renomination in the June 2 primary by a roughly 70-30 margin and faces no Republican nominee on the November 3 general-election ballot. These structural factors, combined with the district’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpin the 93.5 percent implied probability assigned by traders. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong independent campaign could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the absence of organized opposition make such shifts improbable before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNJ-08 Wahlsieger
NJ-08 Wahlsieger
$12,768 Vol.
$12,768 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$12,768 Vol.
$12,768 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$7,713 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$5,055 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and Democratic voter registration exceeding 50 percent. Incumbent Rob Menendez secured renomination in the June 2 primary by a roughly 70-30 margin and faces no Republican nominee on the November 3 general-election ballot. These structural factors, combined with the district’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpin the 93.5 percent implied probability assigned by traders. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong independent campaign could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the absence of organized opposition make such shifts improbable before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$12,768Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and Democratic voter registration exceeding 50 percent. Incumbent Rob Menendez secured renomination in the June 2 primary by a roughly 70-30 margin and faces no Republican nominee on the November 3 general-election ballot. These structural factors, combined with the district’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpin the 93.5 percent implied probability assigned by traders. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong independent campaign could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the absence of organized opposition make such shifts improbable before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,768Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey’s 8th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and Democratic voter registration exceeding 50 percent. Incumbent Rob Menendez secured renomination in the June 2 primary by a roughly 70-30 margin and faces no Republican nominee on the November 3 general-election ballot. These structural factors, combined with the district’s consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpin the 93.5 percent implied probability assigned by traders. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong independent campaign could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the absence of organized opposition make such shifts improbable before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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