Incumbent Democrat Marilyn Strickland's strong performance in the August 4, 2026, top-two primary, where she captured nearly half the vote and advanced alongside Republican Chris Chung, reinforces the district's established D+9 Partisan Voter Index and Solid Democratic ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report. This partisan baseline, combined with Strickland's incumbency advantages in a reliably Democratic-leaning area, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-campaign developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or significant national political shifts altering turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWA-10 Wahlsieger
WA-10 Wahlsieger
$19,515 Vol.
$19,515 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$19,515 Vol.
$19,515 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$11,377 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$8,138 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marilyn Strickland's strong performance in the August 4, 2026, top-two primary, where she captured nearly half the vote and advanced alongside Republican Chris Chung, reinforces the district's established D+9 Partisan Voter Index and Solid Democratic ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report. This partisan baseline, combined with Strickland's incumbency advantages in a reliably Democratic-leaning area, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-campaign developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or significant national political shifts altering turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$19,515Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marilyn Strickland's strong performance in the August 4, 2026, top-two primary, where she captured nearly half the vote and advanced alongside Republican Chris Chung, reinforces the district's established D+9 Partisan Voter Index and Solid Democratic ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report. This partisan baseline, combined with Strickland's incumbency advantages in a reliably Democratic-leaning area, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-campaign developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or significant national political shifts altering turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$19,515Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marilyn Strickland's strong performance in the August 4, 2026, top-two primary, where she captured nearly half the vote and advanced alongside Republican Chris Chung, reinforces the district's established D+9 Partisan Voter Index and Solid Democratic ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report. This partisan baseline, combined with Strickland's incumbency advantages in a reliably Democratic-leaning area, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-campaign developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or significant national political shifts altering turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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