**Republican incumbency and the district's established partisan lean continue to anchor trader consensus in the TX-31 race.** Long-serving Republican Rep. John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff and facing only token opposition in the general election against Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and congressional voting. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the 89.5 percent implied probability for the GOP. No significant late-breaking developments, candidate withdrawals, or polling shifts have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-31 Wahlsieger
TX-31 Wahlsieger
$38,825 Vol.
$38,825 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
90%
Demokratische Partei
9%
$38,825 Vol.
$38,825 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$19,350 Vol.
90%
Demokratische Partei
$19,476 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbency and the district's established partisan lean continue to anchor trader consensus in the TX-31 race.**
Long-serving Republican Rep. John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff and facing only token opposition in the general election against Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and congressional voting. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the 89.5 percent implied probability for the GOP. No significant late-breaking developments, candidate withdrawals, or polling shifts have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$38,825Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbency and the district's established partisan lean continue to anchor trader consensus in the TX-31 race.**
Long-serving Republican Rep. John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff and facing only token opposition in the general election against Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and congressional voting. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the 89.5 percent implied probability for the GOP. No significant late-breaking developments, candidate withdrawals, or polling shifts have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,825Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbency and the district's established partisan lean continue to anchor trader consensus in the TX-31 race.** Long-serving Republican Rep. John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote, avoiding a runoff and facing only token opposition in the general election against Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and congressional voting. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the 89.5 percent implied probability for the GOP. No significant late-breaking developments, candidate withdrawals, or polling shifts have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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