Texas's 31st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with long-serving incumbent John Carter securing the GOP nomination after prevailing in the March 2026 primary. The district's voter base in central Texas suburbs and exurbs has consistently delivered double-digit margins for Republicans in recent cycles, aligning with the current trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Justin Early faces structural headwinds typical of the seat, including limited name recognition and fundraising gaps. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, underscoring the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter baseline expectations ahead of the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-31 Wahlsieger
TX-31 Wahlsieger
$38,825 Vol.
$38,825 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
90%
Demokratische Partei
9%
$38,825 Vol.
$38,825 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$19,350 Vol.
90%
Demokratische Partei
$19,476 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with long-serving incumbent John Carter securing the GOP nomination after prevailing in the March 2026 primary. The district's voter base in central Texas suburbs and exurbs has consistently delivered double-digit margins for Republicans in recent cycles, aligning with the current trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Justin Early faces structural headwinds typical of the seat, including limited name recognition and fundraising gaps. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, underscoring the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter baseline expectations ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$38,825Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 31st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with long-serving incumbent John Carter securing the GOP nomination after prevailing in the March 2026 primary. The district's voter base in central Texas suburbs and exurbs has consistently delivered double-digit margins for Republicans in recent cycles, aligning with the current trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Justin Early faces structural headwinds typical of the seat, including limited name recognition and fundraising gaps. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, underscoring the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter baseline expectations ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,825Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 31st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with long-serving incumbent John Carter securing the GOP nomination after prevailing in the March 2026 primary. The district's voter base in central Texas suburbs and exurbs has consistently delivered double-digit margins for Republicans in recent cycles, aligning with the current trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Justin Early faces structural headwinds typical of the seat, including limited name recognition and fundraising gaps. Cook Political Report ratings classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, underscoring the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter baseline expectations ahead of the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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