Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in most recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round, positioning him as the market favorite over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Multiple surveys from late August and early September show Ciro ahead or in a technical tie, with leads ranging from 2 to 9 points in the first round and similar margins in second-round simulations, reflecting his name recognition as a former governor and consolidated opposition support. Elmano’s numbers have risen modestly since the campaign’s formal start in mid-August, aided by PT machinery and recent backing from President Lula, though higher rejection levels persist. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão and others register negligible support, consistent with their low market pricing. The narrowing gap in freshest data and high undecided shares keep the contest competitive but sustain trader consensus around Ciro’s edge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCiro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$232,877 Vol.
$232,877 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Ciro Gomes
63%
Elmano de Freitas
38%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 38%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$232,877 Vol.
$232,877 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Ciro Gomes
$109,043 Vol.
63%
Elmano de Freitas
$52,954 Vol.
38%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in most recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round, positioning him as the market favorite over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Multiple surveys from late August and early September show Ciro ahead or in a technical tie, with leads ranging from 2 to 9 points in the first round and similar margins in second-round simulations, reflecting his name recognition as a former governor and consolidated opposition support. Elmano’s numbers have risen modestly since the campaign’s formal start in mid-August, aided by PT machinery and recent backing from President Lula, though higher rejection levels persist. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão and others register negligible support, consistent with their low market pricing. The narrowing gap in freshest data and high undecided shares keep the contest competitive but sustain trader consensus around Ciro’s edge.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volumen
$232,877Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in most recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round, positioning him as the market favorite over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Multiple surveys from late August and early September show Ciro ahead or in a technical tie, with leads ranging from 2 to 9 points in the first round and similar margins in second-round simulations, reflecting his name recognition as a former governor and consolidated opposition support. Elmano’s numbers have risen modestly since the campaign’s formal start in mid-August, aided by PT machinery and recent backing from President Lula, though higher rejection levels persist. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão and others register negligible support, consistent with their low market pricing. The narrowing gap in freshest data and high undecided shares keep the contest competitive but sustain trader consensus around Ciro’s edge.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$232,877Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in most recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round, positioning him as the market favorite over incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT). Multiple surveys from late August and early September show Ciro ahead or in a technical tie, with leads ranging from 2 to 9 points in the first round and similar margins in second-round simulations, reflecting his name recognition as a former governor and consolidated opposition support. Elmano’s numbers have risen modestly since the campaign’s formal start in mid-August, aided by PT machinery and recent backing from President Lula, though higher rejection levels persist. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão and others register negligible support, consistent with their low market pricing. The narrowing gap in freshest data and high undecided shares keep the contest competitive but sustain trader consensus around Ciro’s edge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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