Recent polls show Likud and Yashar trading narrow leads around 22-23 seats each, while neither the pro-Netanyahu right-religious bloc nor the opposing Zionist parties consistently reach the 61-seat majority needed to form a government. With 38 candidate lists submitted before the September 8 deadline and final approvals due September 27, outcomes hinge on the 3.25% electoral threshold, surplus-vote pacts such as Yashar-Democrats and Together-Yisrael Beiteinu, and whether new entrants like Amcha Yisrael clear the bar. Ongoing security conditions, turnout among key voting blocs, and undecided voters continue to shape the fragmented landscape ahead of the October 27 election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
30. Nov. 2026
RZP-Zehut
88%
Ra'am
87%
Blau & Weiß
33%
Amcha Yisrael
48%
Reservisten und Neue Wirtschaftspartei
55%
$1,238 Vol.
RZP-Zehut
$807 Vol.
88%
Ra'am
$88 Vol.
87%
Blau & Weiß
$248 Vol.
33%
Amcha Yisrael
$30 Vol.
48%
Reservisten und Neue Wirtschaftspartei
$65 Vol.
55%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls show Likud and Yashar trading narrow leads around 22-23 seats each, while neither the pro-Netanyahu right-religious bloc nor the opposing Zionist parties consistently reach the 61-seat majority needed to form a government. With 38 candidate lists submitted before the September 8 deadline and final approvals due September 27, outcomes hinge on the 3.25% electoral threshold, surplus-vote pacts such as Yashar-Democrats and Together-Yisrael Beiteinu, and whether new entrants like Amcha Yisrael clear the bar. Ongoing security conditions, turnout among key voting blocs, and undecided voters continue to shape the fragmented landscape ahead of the October 27 election.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volumen
$1,238Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls show Likud and Yashar trading narrow leads around 22-23 seats each, while neither the pro-Netanyahu right-religious bloc nor the opposing Zionist parties consistently reach the 61-seat majority needed to form a government. With 38 candidate lists submitted before the September 8 deadline and final approvals due September 27, outcomes hinge on the 3.25% electoral threshold, surplus-vote pacts such as Yashar-Democrats and Together-Yisrael Beiteinu, and whether new entrants like Amcha Yisrael clear the bar. Ongoing security conditions, turnout among key voting blocs, and undecided voters continue to shape the fragmented landscape ahead of the October 27 election.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$1,238Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Recent polls show Likud and Yashar trading narrow leads around 22-23 seats each, while neither the pro-Netanyahu right-religious bloc nor the opposing Zionist parties consistently reach the 61-seat majority needed to form a government. With 38 candidate lists submitted before the September 8 deadline and final approvals due September 27, outcomes hinge on the 3.25% electoral threshold, surplus-vote pacts such as Yashar-Democrats and Together-Yisrael Beiteinu, and whether new entrants like Amcha Yisrael clear the bar. Ongoing security conditions, turnout among key voting blocs, and undecided voters continue to shape the fragmented landscape ahead of the October 27 election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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