Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election consistently rank the Sweden Democrats second behind the Social Democrats, with support near 20 percent and a modest edge over the Moderates. This positioning stems from stable voter trends on issues such as immigration, crime, and economic concerns that have sustained SD's standing within the opposition and as a key external supporter of the current Tidö government. Multiple polling firms, including Novus and Statistics Sweden, show limited movement in recent months that would elevate the Moderates or other parties into second place. The narrow gap between SD and the Moderates leaves room for late shifts in turnout or campaign events, yet the established polling hierarchy underpins the current market consensus on second-place probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSweden Democrats (SD) 83%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$29,019 Vol.
$29,019 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
83%

Moderate Party (M)
15%

Centre Party (C)
<1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 83%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$29,019 Vol.
$29,019 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
83%

Moderate Party (M)
15%

Centre Party (C)
<1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election consistently rank the Sweden Democrats second behind the Social Democrats, with support near 20 percent and a modest edge over the Moderates. This positioning stems from stable voter trends on issues such as immigration, crime, and economic concerns that have sustained SD's standing within the opposition and as a key external supporter of the current Tidö government. Multiple polling firms, including Novus and Statistics Sweden, show limited movement in recent months that would elevate the Moderates or other parties into second place. The narrow gap between SD and the Moderates leaves room for late shifts in turnout or campaign events, yet the established polling hierarchy underpins the current market consensus on second-place probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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