Recent polling by SKDS and other firms shows Latvia First (LPV) holding a narrow lead ahead of the October 3 Saeima election, leaving a tight contest for second place between Sovereign Power (SV) and the United List (AS). Multiple surveys from spring and summer 2026 place these parties within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid single digits, with Progressives and New Unity (JV) also hovering near the 5% threshold. This closeness reflects fragmented voter preferences across Latvia’s five constituencies, shifting turnout expectations, and limited differentiation on key policy issues such as economic management and EU alignment. Trader consensus prices SV and AS as the clearest alternatives for second, with any late-campaign momentum, regional swings, or coalition signals capable of widening the gap before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSV 44%
AS 35%
LPV 16%
PRO 7.3%
NEU
NEU
3. Okt. 2026
SV
44%
AS
35%
LPV
16%
PRO
7%
ST!
6%
MMN
3%
JV
3%
NA
2%
GS
2%
LA
1%
ZZS
1%
ASL
<1%
JKP
<1%
SC
<1%
SV 44%
AS 35%
LPV 16%
PRO 7.3%
NEU
NEU
3. Okt. 2026
SV
$1,616 Vol.
44%
AS
$571 Vol.
35%
LPV
$736 Vol.
16%
PRO
$306 Vol.
7%
ST!
$439 Vol.
6%
MMN
$182 Vol.
3%
JV
$238 Vol.
3%
NA
$182 Vol.
2%
GS
$189 Vol.
2%
LA
$469 Vol.
1%
ZZS
$177 Vol.
1%
ASL
$208 Vol.
<1%
JKP
$211 Vol.
<1%
SC
$151 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling by SKDS and other firms shows Latvia First (LPV) holding a narrow lead ahead of the October 3 Saeima election, leaving a tight contest for second place between Sovereign Power (SV) and the United List (AS). Multiple surveys from spring and summer 2026 place these parties within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid single digits, with Progressives and New Unity (JV) also hovering near the 5% threshold. This closeness reflects fragmented voter preferences across Latvia’s five constituencies, shifting turnout expectations, and limited differentiation on key policy issues such as economic management and EU alignment. Trader consensus prices SV and AS as the clearest alternatives for second, with any late-campaign momentum, regional swings, or coalition signals capable of widening the gap before election day.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Volumen
$5,677Enddatum
3. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.cvk.lv/lvResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polling by SKDS and other firms shows Latvia First (LPV) holding a narrow lead ahead of the October 3 Saeima election, leaving a tight contest for second place between Sovereign Power (SV) and the United List (AS). Multiple surveys from spring and summer 2026 place these parties within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid single digits, with Progressives and New Unity (JV) also hovering near the 5% threshold. This closeness reflects fragmented voter preferences across Latvia’s five constituencies, shifting turnout expectations, and limited differentiation on key policy issues such as economic management and EU alignment. Trader consensus prices SV and AS as the clearest alternatives for second, with any late-campaign momentum, regional swings, or coalition signals capable of widening the gap before election day.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Volumen
$5,677Enddatum
3. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.cvk.lv/lvResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling by SKDS and other firms shows Latvia First (LPV) holding a narrow lead ahead of the October 3 Saeima election, leaving a tight contest for second place between Sovereign Power (SV) and the United List (AS). Multiple surveys from spring and summer 2026 place these parties within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid single digits, with Progressives and New Unity (JV) also hovering near the 5% threshold. This closeness reflects fragmented voter preferences across Latvia’s five constituencies, shifting turnout expectations, and limited differentiation on key policy issues such as economic management and EU alignment. Trader consensus prices SV and AS as the clearest alternatives for second, with any late-campaign momentum, regional swings, or coalition signals capable of widening the gap before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
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