Russian authorities have directed regional officials to target voter turnout near 50% for the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections, a benchmark adjusted downward from earlier internal goals amid subdued campaign visibility and uneven public awareness. State-run polling shows declared intent around 66%, yet independent surveys indicate limited knowledge of the election date and modest enthusiasm, consistent with past cycles where official mobilization through public-sector channels and electronic voting systems produced results clustered in the low-to-mid 50s. Traders appear to weigh these controlled administrative levers and historical patterns against risks of lower participation in major cities or higher coerced turnout in some regions, positioning the 50–56% range as the dominant market consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 38%
53-56% 21.4%
62%+ 11.5%
56-59% 10.3%
$38,241 Vol.
$38,241 Vol.
<47%
10%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
38%
53-56%
21%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
10%
62%+
11%
50-53% 38%
53-56% 21.4%
62%+ 11.5%
56-59% 10.3%
$38,241 Vol.
$38,241 Vol.
<47%
10%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
38%
53-56%
21%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
10%
62%+
11%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Russian authorities have directed regional officials to target voter turnout near 50% for the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections, a benchmark adjusted downward from earlier internal goals amid subdued campaign visibility and uneven public awareness. State-run polling shows declared intent around 66%, yet independent surveys indicate limited knowledge of the election date and modest enthusiasm, consistent with past cycles where official mobilization through public-sector channels and electronic voting systems produced results clustered in the low-to-mid 50s. Traders appear to weigh these controlled administrative levers and historical patterns against risks of lower participation in major cities or higher coerced turnout in some regions, positioning the 50–56% range as the dominant market consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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