Tsai Yi-yu secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Chiayi County magistrate after a decisive January 2026 primary victory over local councilor Huang Jung-li, positioning the DPP legislator as the clear frontrunner in a county with longstanding party alignment. Trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for Tsai reflects structural advantages including party machinery and incumbency patterns ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote, with candidate registration opening in late August. Opposition coordination produced limited movement when forces consolidated in July behind independent Puzi Mayor Wu Pin-jui at 9.5%, while minor contenders such as Tsai Sung-yi register negligible support. No late-breaking developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTsai Yi-yu 86%
Wu Pin-jui 10%
Tsai Sung-yi <1%
NEU
NEU
30. Juni 2027
Tsai Yi-yu
86%
Wu Pin-jui
10%
Tsai Sung-yi
<1%
Tsai Yi-yu 86%
Wu Pin-jui 10%
Tsai Sung-yi <1%
NEU
NEU
30. Juni 2027
Tsai Yi-yu
$1,660 Vol.
86%
Wu Pin-jui
$2,580 Vol.
10%
Tsai Sung-yi
$474 Vol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Chiayi County magistrate after a decisive January 2026 primary victory over local councilor Huang Jung-li, positioning the DPP legislator as the clear frontrunner in a county with longstanding party alignment. Trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for Tsai reflects structural advantages including party machinery and incumbency patterns ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote, with candidate registration opening in late August. Opposition coordination produced limited movement when forces consolidated in July behind independent Puzi Mayor Wu Pin-jui at 9.5%, while minor contenders such as Tsai Sung-yi register negligible support. No late-breaking developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Volumen
$4,715Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Chiayi County magistrate after a decisive January 2026 primary victory over local councilor Huang Jung-li, positioning the DPP legislator as the clear frontrunner in a county with longstanding party alignment. Trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for Tsai reflects structural advantages including party machinery and incumbency patterns ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote, with candidate registration opening in late August. Opposition coordination produced limited movement when forces consolidated in July behind independent Puzi Mayor Wu Pin-jui at 9.5%, while minor contenders such as Tsai Sung-yi register negligible support. No late-breaking developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$4,715Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tsai Yi-yu secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Chiayi County magistrate after a decisive January 2026 primary victory over local councilor Huang Jung-li, positioning the DPP legislator as the clear frontrunner in a county with longstanding party alignment. Trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for Tsai reflects structural advantages including party machinery and incumbency patterns ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote, with candidate registration opening in late August. Opposition coordination produced limited movement when forces consolidated in July behind independent Puzi Mayor Wu Pin-jui at 9.5%, while minor contenders such as Tsai Sung-yi register negligible support. No late-breaking developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen