Skip to main content
icon for Wahlsieger Bürgermeister Kaohsiung
Politik·Taiwan

Wahlsieger Bürgermeister Kaohsiung

icon for Wahlsieger Bürgermeister Kaohsiung
Politik·Taiwan

Wahlsieger Bürgermeister Kaohsiung

Lai Jui-lung 85%

Ko Chih-en 11.9%

Chiu Yi-ying 5.3%

Hsu Chih-chieh 3.8%

Polymarket
NEU

Lai Jui-lung 85%

Ko Chih-en 11.9%

Chiu Yi-ying 5.3%

Hsu Chih-chieh 3.8%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Lai Jui-lung

Lai Jui-lung

$1,171 Vol.

85%

icon for Ko Chih-en

Ko Chih-en

$141 Vol.

12%

icon for Chiu Yi-ying

Chiu Yi-ying

$86 Vol.

5%

icon for Hsu Chih-chieh

Hsu Chih-chieh

$140 Vol.

4%

icon for Lin Tai-hua

Lin Tai-hua

$88 Vol.

2%

icon for Chang Ching

Chang Ching

$92 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee who secured his party's Kaohsiung mayoral nomination after winning the January 2026 primary against fellow legislators including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua, holds an 85 percent implied probability in the Polymarket market. Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en, formally selected in December 2025, trails at around 13 percent. Multiple surveys conducted through mid-2026 show Lai ahead across districts and demographics, reflecting the DPP's historical strength in the city and recent stumping by party leadership. With the November 28, 2026, vote still months away, traders appear to price in limited near-term shifts from the current polling trends and party structures.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$1,717
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee who secured his party's Kaohsiung mayoral nomination after winning the January 2026 primary against fellow legislators including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua, holds an 85 percent implied probability in the Polymarket market. Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en, formally selected in December 2025, trails at around 13 percent. Multiple surveys conducted through mid-2026 show Lai ahead across districts and demographics, reflecting the DPP's historical strength in the city and recent stumping by party leadership. With the November 28, 2026, vote still months away, traders appear to price in limited near-term shifts from the current polling trends and party structures.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$1,717
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Chiang Wan-an die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taipeh gewinnen?

Wird Chiang Wan-an die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taipeh gewinnen?

91%
Ja
icon for Wird Lee Shu-chuan die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Neu-Taipeh gewinnen?

Wird Lee Shu-chuan die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Neu-Taipeh gewinnen?

78%
Ja
icon for Wird Chang San-cheng die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taoyuan gewinnen?

Wird Chang San-cheng die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taoyuan gewinnen?

95%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger Bürgermeister Kaohsiung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Lai Jui-lung" mit 85%, gefolgt von „Ko Chih-en" mit 12%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 85¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 85% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger Bürgermeister Kaohsiung" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 14, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger Bürgermeister Kaohsiung" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger Bürgermeister Kaohsiung" ist „Lai Jui-lung" mit 85%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 85% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Ko Chih-en" mit 12%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger Bürgermeister Kaohsiung" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.