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icon for Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua
Politik·Taiwan

Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua

icon for Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua
Politik·Taiwan

Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua

Chang San-cheng 89%

Huang Shih-chieh 4.4%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NEU

Chang San-cheng 89%

Huang Shih-chieh 4.4%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Chang San-cheng

Chang San-cheng

$2,770 Vol.

89%

icon for Huang Shih-chieh

Huang Shih-chieh

$1,532 Vol.

4%

icon for Perng Shaw-jiin

Perng Shaw-jiin

$1,216 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Chang San-cheng of the Kuomintang holds a commanding position in the Taoyuan mayoral race ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections, as reflected in trader consensus on prediction markets. The Democratic Progressive Party formalized its challenge by nominating former deputy justice minister Huang Shih-chieh in April 2026, following earlier indications of interest, while Chang benefits from incumbency and party mobilization highlighted at a July KMT rally. Limited recent polling or campaign shifts have kept minor candidates, including Perng Shaw-jiin, at negligible implied probabilities. Key factors include Taoyuan's electoral history favoring the KMT in this cycle, the structured registration timeline opening in late August, and absence of major scandals or policy disruptions that could alter the balance before voting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$5,518
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Chang San-cheng of the Kuomintang holds a commanding position in the Taoyuan mayoral race ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections, as reflected in trader consensus on prediction markets. The Democratic Progressive Party formalized its challenge by nominating former deputy justice minister Huang Shih-chieh in April 2026, following earlier indications of interest, while Chang benefits from incumbency and party mobilization highlighted at a July KMT rally. Limited recent polling or campaign shifts have kept minor candidates, including Perng Shaw-jiin, at negligible implied probabilities. Key factors include Taoyuan's electoral history favoring the KMT in this cycle, the structured registration timeline opening in late August, and absence of major scandals or policy disruptions that could alter the balance before voting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$5,518
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Chiang Wan-an die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taipeh gewinnen?

Wird Chiang Wan-an die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taipeh gewinnen?

92%
Ja
icon for Wird Lee Shu-chuan die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Neu-Taipeh gewinnen?

Wird Lee Shu-chuan die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Neu-Taipeh gewinnen?

78%
Ja
icon for Wird Johnny Chiang die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taichung gewinnen?

Wird Johnny Chiang die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taichung gewinnen?

89%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Chang San-cheng" mit 89%, gefolgt von „Huang Shih-chieh" mit 4%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 89¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 89% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 14, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 3 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua" ist „Chang San-cheng" mit 89%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 89% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Huang Shih-chieh" mit 4%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taoyua" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.