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icon for Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen

Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen

icon for Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen

Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen

Chen Yu-jen 88%

Li Wen-liang 8%

Liang Wen-tao 3.8%

Yang Cheng-wu <1%

Polymarket
NEU

Chen Yu-jen 88%

Li Wen-liang 8%

Liang Wen-tao 3.8%

Yang Cheng-wu <1%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Chen Yu-jen

Chen Yu-jen

$2,174 Vol.

88%

icon for Li Wen-liang

Li Wen-liang

$498 Vol.

8%

icon for Liang Wen-tao

Liang Wen-tao

$299 Vol.

4%

icon for Yang Cheng-wu

Yang Cheng-wu

$264 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang legislator representing Kinmen, stands as the party's sole nominee for the November 28, 2026 county magistrate race after no other KMT figures registered for a primary. Local internal polling has shown her with a substantial lead over declared independents, including former vice magistrate Li Wen-liang, former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu, and academic Liang Wen-tao, amid 78% satisfaction ratings for her legislative record. The Democratic Progressive Party has fielded no candidate, consistent with its limited historical presence in the county, while the incumbent independent magistrate is barred from seeking another term. Candidate registration opens at the end of August, with the KMT's established organizational edge and emphasis on cross-strait stability and local development reinforcing trader consensus around Chen's position.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$3,235
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang legislator representing Kinmen, stands as the party's sole nominee for the November 28, 2026 county magistrate race after no other KMT figures registered for a primary. Local internal polling has shown her with a substantial lead over declared independents, including former vice magistrate Li Wen-liang, former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu, and academic Liang Wen-tao, amid 78% satisfaction ratings for her legislative record. The Democratic Progressive Party has fielded no candidate, consistent with its limited historical presence in the county, while the incumbent independent magistrate is barred from seeking another term. Candidate registration opens at the end of August, with the KMT's established organizational edge and emphasis on cross-strait stability and local development reinforcing trader consensus around Chen's position.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$3,235
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Chen Yu-jen" mit 88%, gefolgt von „Li Wen-liang" mit 8%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 88¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 88% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 14, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen" ist „Chen Yu-jen" mit 88%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 88% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Li Wen-liang" mit 8%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei der Wahl zum Magistrat des Bezirks Kinmen" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.