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Politik·Peru

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Politik·Peru

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Rafael López Aliaga 82.2%

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 13.3%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 2.1%

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli 1.9%

Polymarket

$160,469 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga 82.2%

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 13.3%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 2.1%

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli 1.9%

Polymarket

$160,469 Vol.

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$14,458 Vol.

82%

icon for Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

$53,588 Vol.

13%

icon for Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

$10,962 Vol.

2%

icon for Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

$6,439 Vol.

2%

icon for Francis James Allison Oyague

Francis James Allison Oyague

$20,092 Vol.

1%

icon for Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

$5,614 Vol.

1%

icon for Yehude Simón Munaro

Yehude Simón Munaro

$6,022 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

$1,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

$9,636 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

$1,727 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

$1,799 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

$2,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

$1,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

$2,379 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

$2,446 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

$1,684 Vol.

<1%

icon for Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

$1,898 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

$2,479 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

$2,201 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

$3,969 Vol.

<1%

icon for Segundo Valdez Zavala

Segundo Valdez Zavala

$1,769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

$2,073 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

$3,416 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Rafael López Aliaga leads the Lima mayoral market at 81.8% implied probability because recent September 2026 polls place his Renovación Popular list first for the October 4 election, often in the 25–38% range and well ahead of Carlos Bruce (Somos Perú) and others. Legal confirmation of his first-regidor candidacy by the JNE cleared the final procedural hurdles after earlier disputes over his prior Senate election and re-election restrictions, allowing the list to compete directly. Fragmented opposition support, high undecided voters in surveys, and the mechanics of list-based municipal voting—where the top regidor assumes the mayoralty if the ticket prevails—underpin trader consensus. Lower-priced outcomes such as Bruce at 13.3% and Daniel Urresti at 2.1% align with their trailing poll numbers.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volumen
$160,469
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Rafael López Aliaga leads the Lima mayoral market at 81.8% implied probability because recent September 2026 polls place his Renovación Popular list first for the October 4 election, often in the 25–38% range and well ahead of Carlos Bruce (Somos Perú) and others. Legal confirmation of his first-regidor candidacy by the JNE cleared the final procedural hurdles after earlier disputes over his prior Senate election and re-election restrictions, allowing the list to compete directly. Fragmented opposition support, high undecided voters in surveys, and the mechanics of list-based municipal voting—where the top regidor assumes the mayoralty if the ticket prevails—underpin trader consensus. Lower-priced outcomes such as Bruce at 13.3% and Daniel Urresti at 2.1% align with their trailing poll numbers.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volumen
$160,469
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Lima Mayoral Election Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 23 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Rafael López Aliaga" mit 82%, gefolgt von „Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" mit 13%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 82¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 82% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Lima Mayoral Election Winner" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $160.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 24, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Lima Mayoral Election Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 23 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Lima Mayoral Election Winner" ist „Rafael López Aliaga" mit 82%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 82% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" mit 13%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Lima Mayoral Election Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.