Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election shows the Social Democrats-led centre-left bloc maintaining a consistent lead of roughly 4–10 points over the incumbent Tidö coalition of Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals, which relies on Sweden Democrats support. This positioning reflects voter priorities around crime, security, the economy and immigration, with the opposition bloc positioned to secure enough seats for government formation. Coalition negotiations after election night will determine exact party participation, including possible roles for the Centre Party or Left Party, while historical patterns of minority or multi-party cabinets add uncertainty to final outcomes. Traders weigh these bloc trends and post-election bargaining dynamics when assessing probabilities for specific party combinations in the next government.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
31. Jan. 2027
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
91%
Green Party (MP)
77%
Left Party (V)
71%
Centre Party (C)
72%
Liberals (L)
28%
Christian Democrats (KD)
20%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
10%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
6%
Moderate Party (M)
48%
$7,965 Vol.
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$2,308 Vol.
91%
Green Party (MP)
$954 Vol.
77%
Left Party (V)
$956 Vol.
71%
Centre Party (C)
$725 Vol.
72%
Liberals (L)
$1,159 Vol.
28%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$925 Vol.
20%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$869 Vol.
10%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$26 Vol.
6%
Moderate Party (M)
$45 Vol.
48%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election shows the Social Democrats-led centre-left bloc maintaining a consistent lead of roughly 4–10 points over the incumbent Tidö coalition of Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals, which relies on Sweden Democrats support. This positioning reflects voter priorities around crime, security, the economy and immigration, with the opposition bloc positioned to secure enough seats for government formation. Coalition negotiations after election night will determine exact party participation, including possible roles for the Centre Party or Left Party, while historical patterns of minority or multi-party cabinets add uncertainty to final outcomes. Traders weigh these bloc trends and post-election bargaining dynamics when assessing probabilities for specific party combinations in the next government.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Volumen
$7,965Enddatum
31. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election shows the Social Democrats-led centre-left bloc maintaining a consistent lead of roughly 4–10 points over the incumbent Tidö coalition of Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals, which relies on Sweden Democrats support. This positioning reflects voter priorities around crime, security, the economy and immigration, with the opposition bloc positioned to secure enough seats for government formation. Coalition negotiations after election night will determine exact party participation, including possible roles for the Centre Party or Left Party, while historical patterns of minority or multi-party cabinets add uncertainty to final outcomes. Traders weigh these bloc trends and post-election bargaining dynamics when assessing probabilities for specific party combinations in the next government.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Volumen
$7,965Enddatum
31. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election shows the Social Democrats-led centre-left bloc maintaining a consistent lead of roughly 4–10 points over the incumbent Tidö coalition of Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals, which relies on Sweden Democrats support. This positioning reflects voter priorities around crime, security, the economy and immigration, with the opposition bloc positioned to secure enough seats for government formation. Coalition negotiations after election night will determine exact party participation, including possible roles for the Centre Party or Left Party, while historical patterns of minority or multi-party cabinets add uncertainty to final outcomes. Traders weigh these bloc trends and post-election bargaining dynamics when assessing probabilities for specific party combinations in the next government.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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