The contest for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote remains tightly contested between Augusto Cury and Renan Santos, as recent national surveys place both in the low-to-mid single digits behind Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Cury’s late-August polling gains, driven by television exposure and appeal to voters seeking alternatives to polarization, have narrowed the gap with Santos, whose activist profile from the Movimento Brasil Livre draws younger right-leaning support but faces criticism over campaign authenticity. Ronaldo Caiado’s established record as a former governor offers a steadier base yet trails in current aggregates. Upcoming debates and final-week momentum could shift the narrow margin between the two frontrunners for the position.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAugusto Cury 49.6%
Renan Santos 44%
Ronaldo Caiado 7%
Flávio Bolsonaro 1.6%
$1,062,283 Vol.
$1,062,283 Vol.

Augusto Cury
50%

Renan Santos
44%

Ronaldo Caiado
7%

Flávio Bolsonaro
2%

Romeu Zema
1%

Pablo Marçal
1%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%

Jair Bolsonaro
<1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Camilo Santana
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

Eduardo Leite
<1%

Fernando Haddad
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%
Augusto Cury 49.6%
Renan Santos 44%
Ronaldo Caiado 7%
Flávio Bolsonaro 1.6%
$1,062,283 Vol.
$1,062,283 Vol.

Augusto Cury
50%

Renan Santos
44%

Ronaldo Caiado
7%

Flávio Bolsonaro
2%

Romeu Zema
1%

Pablo Marçal
1%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%

Jair Bolsonaro
<1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Camilo Santana
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

Eduardo Leite
<1%

Fernando Haddad
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Markt eröffnet: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...The contest for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote remains tightly contested between Augusto Cury and Renan Santos, as recent national surveys place both in the low-to-mid single digits behind Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Cury’s late-August polling gains, driven by television exposure and appeal to voters seeking alternatives to polarization, have narrowed the gap with Santos, whose activist profile from the Movimento Brasil Livre draws younger right-leaning support but faces criticism over campaign authenticity. Ronaldo Caiado’s established record as a former governor offers a steadier base yet trails in current aggregates. Upcoming debates and final-week momentum could shift the narrow margin between the two frontrunners for the position.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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