Skip to main content
icon for Senatswahl in São Paulo: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl in São Paulo: 2. Platz

icon for Senatswahl in São Paulo: 2. Platz
Politik·Brasilien

Senatswahl in São Paulo: 2. Platz

Ednelson Cesaretti 44%

Weller Gonçalves 43%

Geraldo Rufino 43%

William Teixeira 43%

Polymarket
NEU

Ednelson Cesaretti 44%

Weller Gonçalves 43%

Geraldo Rufino 43%

William Teixeira 43%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Ednelson Cesaretti

Ednelson Cesaretti

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Weller Gonçalves

Weller Gonçalves

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Geraldo Rufino

Geraldo Rufino

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for William Teixeira

William Teixeira

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for André do Prado

André do Prado

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Maíra de Souza

Maíra de Souza

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Marina Silva

Marina Silva

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Salles

Salles

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Simone Tebet

Simone Tebet

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Dra. Eliana Ferreira

Dra. Eliana Ferreira

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for Petter Maahs

Petter Maahs

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Guilherme Derrite

Guilherme Derrite

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Soninha Francine

Soninha Francine

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Marcio Alves

Marcio Alves

$20 Vol.

8%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).São Paulo voters will elect two senators in October 2026, and recent polls show a tight contest for the second seat among Marina Silva (Rede), Simone Tebet (PSB), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo). Official campaigning began in mid-August amid high undecided and blank/null shares that compress margins between frontrunners and challengers. Fragmented party support, varying rejection rates, and the absence of a dominant coalition keep the ordering fluid. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with small shifts in polling averages or turnout among key blocs likely to reorder the field before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$20
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).São Paulo voters will elect two senators in October 2026, and recent polls show a tight contest for the second seat among Marina Silva (Rede), Simone Tebet (PSB), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo). Official campaigning began in mid-August amid high undecided and blank/null shares that compress margins between frontrunners and challengers. Fragmented party support, varying rejection rates, and the absence of a dominant coalition keep the ordering fluid. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with small shifts in polling averages or turnout among key blocs likely to reorder the field before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$20
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Verwandte

icon for Will Weller Gonçalves win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will Weller Gonçalves win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

45%
icon for Wird Marcelo Marcelino bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Paraná die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Marcelo Marcelino bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Paraná die zweitmeisten Stimmen erhalten?

45%
Ja
icon for Wird Guto Felício dos Santos die zweitmeisten Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 im Bundesdistrikt erhalten?

Wird Guto Felício dos Santos die zweitmeisten Stimmen bei der Senatswahl 2026 im Bundesdistrikt erhalten?

44%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl in São Paulo: 2. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 14 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Ednelson Cesaretti" mit 44%, gefolgt von „Weller Gonçalves" mit 44%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 44¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Senatswahl in São Paulo: 2. Platz" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Senatswahl in São Paulo: 2. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 14 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl in São Paulo: 2. Platz" ist „Ednelson Cesaretti" mit 44%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Weller Gonçalves" mit 44%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl in São Paulo: 2. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.