Texas’s 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 as part of mid-decade redistricting that shifted its composition toward Republican-leaning voters, producing nonpartisan race ratings of Solid Republican. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March 2026 contest and subsequent runoff withdrawal by rival Ryan Binkley, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged from his party’s primary. These steps have left the general-election matchup on November 3, 2026, with limited Democratic path to victory under current district lines. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices therefore assigns the Republican nominee a clear advantage, consistent with the district’s post-redistricting partisan baseline and the absence of major intervening developments since the primaries concluded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$26,481 Vol.
$26,481 Vol.
4. Nov. 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
25%
$26,481 Vol.
$26,481 Vol.
4. Nov. 2026
Republican Party
$26,062 Vol.
75%
Democratic Party
$419 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 as part of mid-decade redistricting that shifted its composition toward Republican-leaning voters, producing nonpartisan race ratings of Solid Republican. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March 2026 contest and subsequent runoff withdrawal by rival Ryan Binkley, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged from his party’s primary. These steps have left the general-election matchup on November 3, 2026, with limited Democratic path to victory under current district lines. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices therefore assigns the Republican nominee a clear advantage, consistent with the district’s post-redistricting partisan baseline and the absence of major intervening developments since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$26,481Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 as part of mid-decade redistricting that shifted its composition toward Republican-leaning voters, producing nonpartisan race ratings of Solid Republican. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March 2026 contest and subsequent runoff withdrawal by rival Ryan Binkley, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged from his party’s primary. These steps have left the general-election matchup on November 3, 2026, with limited Democratic path to victory under current district lines. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices therefore assigns the Republican nominee a clear advantage, consistent with the district’s post-redistricting partisan baseline and the absence of major intervening developments since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,481Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 as part of mid-decade redistricting that shifted its composition toward Republican-leaning voters, producing nonpartisan race ratings of Solid Republican. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March 2026 contest and subsequent runoff withdrawal by rival Ryan Binkley, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged from his party’s primary. These steps have left the general-election matchup on November 3, 2026, with limited Democratic path to victory under current district lines. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices therefore assigns the Republican nominee a clear advantage, consistent with the district’s post-redistricting partisan baseline and the absence of major intervening developments since the primaries concluded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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