**Washington's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November general election.** The August 4 top-two primary produced a clear Republican-Democrat matchup between Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky, with McKinney finishing first at roughly 35% and Duresky second at about 30%. All major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history in central and eastern Washington. The open seat, created by incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement, has not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Traders have priced in the strong Republican lean, limited Democratic infrastructure in the district, and absence of polling showing a competitive general-election environment. No late developments have emerged that would shift the implied probability away from the Republican nominee.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWA-04 Wahlsieger
WA-04 Wahlsieger
$38,322 Vol.
$38,322 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
89%
Demokratische Partei
9%
$38,322 Vol.
$38,322 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$17,379 Vol.
89%
Demokratische Partei
$20,944 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Washington's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November general election.** The August 4 top-two primary produced a clear Republican-Democrat matchup between Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky, with McKinney finishing first at roughly 35% and Duresky second at about 30%. All major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history in central and eastern Washington.
The open seat, created by incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement, has not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Traders have priced in the strong Republican lean, limited Democratic infrastructure in the district, and absence of polling showing a competitive general-election environment. No late developments have emerged that would shift the implied probability away from the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$38,322Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Washington's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November general election.** The August 4 top-two primary produced a clear Republican-Democrat matchup between Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky, with McKinney finishing first at roughly 35% and Duresky second at about 30%. All major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history in central and eastern Washington.
The open seat, created by incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement, has not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Traders have priced in the strong Republican lean, limited Democratic infrastructure in the district, and absence of polling showing a competitive general-election environment. No late developments have emerged that would shift the implied probability away from the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,322Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Washington's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November general election.** The August 4 top-two primary produced a clear Republican-Democrat matchup between Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky, with McKinney finishing first at roughly 35% and Duresky second at about 30%. All major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting history in central and eastern Washington. The open seat, created by incumbent Dan Newhouse's retirement, has not altered the underlying partisan dynamics. Traders have priced in the strong Republican lean, limited Democratic infrastructure in the district, and absence of polling showing a competitive general-election environment. No late developments have emerged that would shift the implied probability away from the Republican nominee.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen