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Politik·Midterms

WA-03 Wahlsieger

icon for WA-03 Wahlsieger
Politik·Midterms

WA-03 Wahlsieger

Polymarket

$34,684 Vol.

Polymarket

$34,684 Vol.

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)

$23,621 Vol.

89%

John Braun (R)

$11,063 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a commanding position in trader assessments for Washington’s 3rd Congressional District, buoyed by her status as a two-term incumbent with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $6 million compared to Republican John Braun’s roughly $2 million. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed the matchup, with Perez and the Trump-endorsed Braun advancing ahead of other candidates. Recent developments, including Perez’s repeated procedural votes alongside House Republicans in September 2026 on sanctions and regulatory measures, have underscored her cross-aisle approach in a district that supported Donald Trump in 2024 while electing her narrowly in prior cycles. Outside spending, such as a $1.7 million ad reservation by a Trump-aligned PAC, highlights national stakes for House control, yet the district’s split-ticket history and Perez’s local focus on issues like right-to-repair legislation continue to shape the contest ahead of the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$34,684
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a commanding position in trader assessments for Washington’s 3rd Congressional District, buoyed by her status as a two-term incumbent with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $6 million compared to Republican John Braun’s roughly $2 million. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed the matchup, with Perez and the Trump-endorsed Braun advancing ahead of other candidates. Recent developments, including Perez’s repeated procedural votes alongside House Republicans in September 2026 on sanctions and regulatory measures, have underscored her cross-aisle approach in a district that supported Donald Trump in 2024 while electing her narrowly in prior cycles. Outside spending, such as a $1.7 million ad reservation by a Trump-aligned PAC, highlights national stakes for House control, yet the district’s split-ticket history and Perez’s local focus on issues like right-to-repair legislation continue to shape the contest ahead of the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$34,684
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den WA-04 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den WA-04 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

92%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz des Repräsentantenhauses in WA-06 gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz des Repräsentantenhauses in WA-06 gewinnen?

95%
Ja
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Wird die Demokratische Partei den WA-02 Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

96%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„WA-03 Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)" mit 89%, gefolgt von „John Braun (R)" mit 11%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 89¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 89% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „WA-03 Wahlsieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $34.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „WA-03 Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „WA-03 Wahlsieger" ist „Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)" mit 89%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 89% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „John Braun (R)" mit 11%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „WA-03 Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.