Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen holds a commanding lead in Washington’s 2nd congressional district, a seat stretching from the Canadian border through Bellingham and Everett that has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Larsen’s 63.8% victory in 2024. The August 4, 2026, top-two primary confirmed Larsen and Republican Edwin Feller as general-election nominees, with no polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive race. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan lean, Larsen’s long incumbency, and the absence of major scandals or national headwinds capable of shifting the outcome. A late-breaking controversy, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could still alter the result before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWA-02 Wahlsieger
WA-02 Wahlsieger
$16,475 Vol.
$16,475 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$16,475 Vol.
$16,475 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$11,155 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$5,321 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen holds a commanding lead in Washington’s 2nd congressional district, a seat stretching from the Canadian border through Bellingham and Everett that has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Larsen’s 63.8% victory in 2024. The August 4, 2026, top-two primary confirmed Larsen and Republican Edwin Feller as general-election nominees, with no polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive race. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan lean, Larsen’s long incumbency, and the absence of major scandals or national headwinds capable of shifting the outcome. A late-breaking controversy, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could still alter the result before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$16,475Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen holds a commanding lead in Washington’s 2nd congressional district, a seat stretching from the Canadian border through Bellingham and Everett that has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Larsen’s 63.8% victory in 2024. The August 4, 2026, top-two primary confirmed Larsen and Republican Edwin Feller as general-election nominees, with no polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive race. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan lean, Larsen’s long incumbency, and the absence of major scandals or national headwinds capable of shifting the outcome. A late-breaking controversy, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could still alter the result before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,475Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen holds a commanding lead in Washington’s 2nd congressional district, a seat stretching from the Canadian border through Bellingham and Everett that has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Larsen’s 63.8% victory in 2024. The August 4, 2026, top-two primary confirmed Larsen and Republican Edwin Feller as general-election nominees, with no polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive race. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan lean, Larsen’s long incumbency, and the absence of major scandals or national headwinds capable of shifting the outcome. A late-breaking controversy, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave could still alter the result before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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