Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary and faces only minor general-election challengers, including a Green Party candidate and a No Labels nominee, with no viable Republican on the ballot. The district's urban and majority-Latino demographics in southern and western Phoenix have anchored Democratic performance near 70 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically narrow the outcome, though structural and candidate factors make such reversals improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAZ-03 Wahlsieger
AZ-03 Wahlsieger
$52,682 Vol.
$52,682 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
98%
Republikanische Partei
<1%
$52,682 Vol.
$52,682 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$32,763 Vol.
98%
Republikanische Partei
$19,919 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary and faces only minor general-election challengers, including a Green Party candidate and a No Labels nominee, with no viable Republican on the ballot. The district's urban and majority-Latino demographics in southern and western Phoenix have anchored Democratic performance near 70 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically narrow the outcome, though structural and candidate factors make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$52,682Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary and faces only minor general-election challengers, including a Green Party candidate and a No Labels nominee, with no viable Republican on the ballot. The district's urban and majority-Latino demographics in southern and western Phoenix have anchored Democratic performance near 70 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically narrow the outcome, though structural and candidate factors make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$52,682Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the July 2026 primary and faces only minor general-election challengers, including a Green Party candidate and a No Labels nominee, with no viable Republican on the ballot. The district's urban and majority-Latino demographics in southern and western Phoenix have anchored Democratic performance near 70 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout shift could theoretically narrow the outcome, though structural and candidate factors make such reversals improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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