Democratic incumbent Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The five-term representative faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage over Republican nominee Sean Kirrane, an AI executive with limited campaign resources. Voter registration favors Democrats at 35% to 27% Republican, consistent with Gottheimer’s 54.6% victory in 2024 and the district’s light-blue profile. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts since the June primaries. Trader consensus at 89% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural and resource factors, though the race remains subject to broader national midterm dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNJ-05 Wahlsieger
NJ-05 Wahlsieger
$12,021 Vol.
$12,021 Vol.
4. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
89%
Republikanische Partei
11%
$12,021 Vol.
$12,021 Vol.
4. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$11,587 Vol.
89%
Republikanische Partei
$434 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The five-term representative faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage over Republican nominee Sean Kirrane, an AI executive with limited campaign resources. Voter registration favors Democrats at 35% to 27% Republican, consistent with Gottheimer’s 54.6% victory in 2024 and the district’s light-blue profile. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts since the June primaries. Trader consensus at 89% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural and resource factors, though the race remains subject to broader national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volumen
$12,021Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The five-term representative faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage over Republican nominee Sean Kirrane, an AI executive with limited campaign resources. Voter registration favors Democrats at 35% to 27% Republican, consistent with Gottheimer’s 54.6% victory in 2024 and the district’s light-blue profile. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts since the June primaries. Trader consensus at 89% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural and resource factors, though the race remains subject to broader national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,021Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The five-term representative faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage over Republican nominee Sean Kirrane, an AI executive with limited campaign resources. Voter registration favors Democrats at 35% to 27% Republican, consistent with Gottheimer’s 54.6% victory in 2024 and the district’s light-blue profile. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts since the June primaries. Trader consensus at 89% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural and resource factors, though the race remains subject to broader national midterm dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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