Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the NJ-05 House seat due to his status as a five-term incumbent in a district with a D+2 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic-leaning results in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Gottheimer secured his primary unopposed and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $4 million raised compared to challenger Sean Kirrane’s under $60,000 as of mid-2026. Kirrane, a political newcomer and corporate consultant, also advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and resources. Late developments such as major national shifts, candidate health issues, or unexpected scandals remain the primary variables that could alter the current implied probability before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$26,262 Vol.
$26,262 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Josh Gottheimer (D)
97%
Sean Kirrane (R)
3%
$26,262 Vol.
$26,262 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Josh Gottheimer (D)
$19,077 Vol.
97%
Sean Kirrane (R)
$7,185 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the NJ-05 House seat due to his status as a five-term incumbent in a district with a D+2 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic-leaning results in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Gottheimer secured his primary unopposed and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $4 million raised compared to challenger Sean Kirrane’s under $60,000 as of mid-2026. Kirrane, a political newcomer and corporate consultant, also advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and resources. Late developments such as major national shifts, candidate health issues, or unexpected scandals remain the primary variables that could alter the current implied probability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volumen
$26,262Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the NJ-05 House seat due to his status as a five-term incumbent in a district with a D+2 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic-leaning results in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Gottheimer secured his primary unopposed and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $4 million raised compared to challenger Sean Kirrane’s under $60,000 as of mid-2026. Kirrane, a political newcomer and corporate consultant, also advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and resources. Late developments such as major national shifts, candidate health issues, or unexpected scandals remain the primary variables that could alter the current implied probability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,262Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the NJ-05 House seat due to his status as a five-term incumbent in a district with a D+2 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic-leaning results in recent cycles. Multiple nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Gottheimer secured his primary unopposed and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $4 million raised compared to challenger Sean Kirrane’s under $60,000 as of mid-2026. Kirrane, a political newcomer and corporate consultant, also advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and resources. Late developments such as major national shifts, candidate health issues, or unexpected scandals remain the primary variables that could alter the current implied probability before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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