New York’s 5th congressional district, encompassing urban Queens, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Gregory Meeks advanced unopposed after the June 23 Democratic primary was canceled, preserving party unity and his substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee George Marsh faces the same structural barriers that limited the party to roughly 27 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats captures these entrenched factors, while any path to a Republican victory would require an unprecedented national swing, a major scandal, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent in the months before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-05 Wahlsieger
NY-05 Wahlsieger
$23,998 Vol.
$23,998 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$23,998 Vol.
$23,998 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$16,222 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$7,777 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 5th congressional district, encompassing urban Queens, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Gregory Meeks advanced unopposed after the June 23 Democratic primary was canceled, preserving party unity and his substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee George Marsh faces the same structural barriers that limited the party to roughly 27 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats captures these entrenched factors, while any path to a Republican victory would require an unprecedented national swing, a major scandal, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent in the months before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$23,998Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 5th congressional district, encompassing urban Queens, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Gregory Meeks advanced unopposed after the June 23 Democratic primary was canceled, preserving party unity and his substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee George Marsh faces the same structural barriers that limited the party to roughly 27 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats captures these entrenched factors, while any path to a Republican victory would require an unprecedented national swing, a major scandal, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent in the months before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$23,998Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 5th congressional district, encompassing urban Queens, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Gregory Meeks advanced unopposed after the June 23 Democratic primary was canceled, preserving party unity and his substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee George Marsh faces the same structural barriers that limited the party to roughly 27 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats captures these entrenched factors, while any path to a Republican victory would require an unprecedented national swing, a major scandal, or health-related developments affecting the incumbent in the months before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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