Incumbent Gregory Meeks maintains a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the Southeast Queens district's entrenched Democratic lean, where he secured 72.9% in 2024, combined with his nearly three-decade tenure and substantial campaign resources exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. Both parties' June 2026 primaries were uncontested, leaving Republican George Marsh with no primary opposition or reported fundraising to mount a serious challenge. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan baseline and limited competitive history. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican national performance could theoretically alter the outcome before the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-05 Wahlsieger
NY-05 Wahlsieger
$63,526 Vol.
$63,526 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Gregory Meeks (D)
97%
George Marsh (R)
1%
$63,526 Vol.
$63,526 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Gregory Meeks (D)
$21,339 Vol.
97%
George Marsh (R)
$42,187 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Gregory Meeks maintains a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the Southeast Queens district's entrenched Democratic lean, where he secured 72.9% in 2024, combined with his nearly three-decade tenure and substantial campaign resources exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. Both parties' June 2026 primaries were uncontested, leaving Republican George Marsh with no primary opposition or reported fundraising to mount a serious challenge. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan baseline and limited competitive history. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican national performance could theoretically alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$63,526Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Gregory Meeks maintains a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the Southeast Queens district's entrenched Democratic lean, where he secured 72.9% in 2024, combined with his nearly three-decade tenure and substantial campaign resources exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. Both parties' June 2026 primaries were uncontested, leaving Republican George Marsh with no primary opposition or reported fundraising to mount a serious challenge. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan baseline and limited competitive history. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican national performance could theoretically alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$63,526Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Gregory Meeks maintains a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the Southeast Queens district's entrenched Democratic lean, where he secured 72.9% in 2024, combined with his nearly three-decade tenure and substantial campaign resources exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. Both parties' June 2026 primaries were uncontested, leaving Republican George Marsh with no primary opposition or reported fundraising to mount a serious challenge. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan baseline and limited competitive history. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican national performance could theoretically alter the outcome before the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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