Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng holds a commanding position in New York’s 6th congressional district, a Queens-based seat with a consistent Democratic lean exceeding six points on standard partisan voting indexes. Meng secured 60.7 percent in the 2024 general election and faces only a limited primary challenge on June 23 from Chuck Park, while Republican Joseph Chou advanced unopposed. The combination of incumbency advantages, district demographics, and limited opposition has produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A general-election upset would require either an unexpected primary outcome that weakens the eventual Democratic candidate or a broad national shift in voter sentiment large enough to overcome the seat’s structural partisan baseline before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-06 Wahlsieger
NY-06 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
93%
Republikanische Partei
7%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$4,305 Vol.
93%
Republikanische Partei
$3,259 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng holds a commanding position in New York’s 6th congressional district, a Queens-based seat with a consistent Democratic lean exceeding six points on standard partisan voting indexes. Meng secured 60.7 percent in the 2024 general election and faces only a limited primary challenge on June 23 from Chuck Park, while Republican Joseph Chou advanced unopposed. The combination of incumbency advantages, district demographics, and limited opposition has produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A general-election upset would require either an unexpected primary outcome that weakens the eventual Democratic candidate or a broad national shift in voter sentiment large enough to overcome the seat’s structural partisan baseline before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$7,564Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng holds a commanding position in New York’s 6th congressional district, a Queens-based seat with a consistent Democratic lean exceeding six points on standard partisan voting indexes. Meng secured 60.7 percent in the 2024 general election and faces only a limited primary challenge on June 23 from Chuck Park, while Republican Joseph Chou advanced unopposed. The combination of incumbency advantages, district demographics, and limited opposition has produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A general-election upset would require either an unexpected primary outcome that weakens the eventual Democratic candidate or a broad national shift in voter sentiment large enough to overcome the seat’s structural partisan baseline before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,564Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng holds a commanding position in New York’s 6th congressional district, a Queens-based seat with a consistent Democratic lean exceeding six points on standard partisan voting indexes. Meng secured 60.7 percent in the 2024 general election and faces only a limited primary challenge on June 23 from Chuck Park, while Republican Joseph Chou advanced unopposed. The combination of incumbency advantages, district demographics, and limited opposition has produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A general-election upset would require either an unexpected primary outcome that weakens the eventual Democratic candidate or a broad national shift in voter sentiment large enough to overcome the seat’s structural partisan baseline before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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