NY-21 remains a solidly Republican district covering rural northern New York counties, where historical voting patterns and recent primary turnout favor the GOP nominee. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination on June 23 after defeating Robert Smullen, benefiting from nearly double the turnout of Democratic voters in the primary. Blake Gendebien emerged as the Democratic nominee in a lower-turnout contest. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid R following the open-seat vacancy, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and limited signs of competitive shifts ahead of the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-21 Wahlsieger
NY-21 Wahlsieger
$49,383 Vol.
$49,383 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
78%
Demokratische Partei
22%
$49,383 Vol.
$49,383 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$24,216 Vol.
78%
Demokratische Partei
$25,167 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a solidly Republican district covering rural northern New York counties, where historical voting patterns and recent primary turnout favor the GOP nominee. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination on June 23 after defeating Robert Smullen, benefiting from nearly double the turnout of Democratic voters in the primary. Blake Gendebien emerged as the Democratic nominee in a lower-turnout contest. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid R following the open-seat vacancy, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and limited signs of competitive shifts ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$49,383Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a solidly Republican district covering rural northern New York counties, where historical voting patterns and recent primary turnout favor the GOP nominee. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination on June 23 after defeating Robert Smullen, benefiting from nearly double the turnout of Democratic voters in the primary. Blake Gendebien emerged as the Democratic nominee in a lower-turnout contest. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid R following the open-seat vacancy, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and limited signs of competitive shifts ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$49,383Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21 remains a solidly Republican district covering rural northern New York counties, where historical voting patterns and recent primary turnout favor the GOP nominee. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination on June 23 after defeating Robert Smullen, benefiting from nearly double the turnout of Democratic voters in the primary. Blake Gendebien emerged as the Democratic nominee in a lower-turnout contest. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid R following the open-seat vacancy, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and limited signs of competitive shifts ahead of the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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