Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko faces Republican Ralph Ambrosio in New York’s 20th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat carries a D+8 Partisan Voter Index and holds Solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Both party primaries were canceled, leaving the general-election matchup in place with no reported shifts in candidate positioning or district boundaries. Trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and the absence of competitive developments. Late national political realignments, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or turnout anomalies in this upstate New York district remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-20 Wahlsieger
NY-20 Wahlsieger
$26,910 Vol.
$26,910 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
92%
Republikanische Partei
7%
$26,910 Vol.
$26,910 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$14,062 Vol.
92%
Republikanische Partei
$12,848 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko faces Republican Ralph Ambrosio in New York’s 20th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat carries a D+8 Partisan Voter Index and holds Solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Both party primaries were canceled, leaving the general-election matchup in place with no reported shifts in candidate positioning or district boundaries. Trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and the absence of competitive developments. Late national political realignments, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or turnout anomalies in this upstate New York district remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$26,910Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko faces Republican Ralph Ambrosio in New York’s 20th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat carries a D+8 Partisan Voter Index and holds Solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Both party primaries were canceled, leaving the general-election matchup in place with no reported shifts in candidate positioning or district boundaries. Trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and the absence of competitive developments. Late national political realignments, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or turnout anomalies in this upstate New York district remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,910Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko faces Republican Ralph Ambrosio in New York’s 20th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat carries a D+8 Partisan Voter Index and holds Solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Both party primaries were canceled, leaving the general-election matchup in place with no reported shifts in candidate positioning or district boundaries. Trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party aligns with the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and the absence of competitive developments. Late national political realignments, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or turnout anomalies in this upstate New York district remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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