Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 2026 primary and enters the general election in a state with a strong Republican voting history. Trader consensus reflects this positioning at 59.5 percent for the Republican outcome. Independent Dan Osborn, who previously ran in 2024, advances as the primary challenger after receiving endorsements from state Democrats following the Democratic primary winner's pledge to withdraw and support his bid. This consolidation has elevated the independent option to 39.5 percent. The Democrat share remains near 3 percent amid the party's limited organizational presence and the expected strategic withdrawal, leaving a head-to-head contest shaped by recent polling that shows Ricketts ahead or statistically tied with Osborn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRepublikaner 60%
Unabhängiger 40%
Demokrat 2.9%
$132,302 Vol.
$132,302 Vol.

Republikaner
60%

Unabhängiger
40%

Demokrat
3%
Republikaner 60%
Unabhängiger 40%
Demokrat 2.9%
$132,302 Vol.
$132,302 Vol.

Republikaner
60%

Unabhängiger
40%

Demokrat
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the May 2026 primary and enters the general election in a state with a strong Republican voting history. Trader consensus reflects this positioning at 59.5 percent for the Republican outcome. Independent Dan Osborn, who previously ran in 2024, advances as the primary challenger after receiving endorsements from state Democrats following the Democratic primary winner's pledge to withdraw and support his bid. This consolidation has elevated the independent option to 39.5 percent. The Democrat share remains near 3 percent amid the party's limited organizational presence and the expected strategic withdrawal, leaving a head-to-head contest shaped by recent polling that shows Ricketts ahead or statistically tied with Osborn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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