Incumbent Republican Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 73.6% of the vote and now faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district. The seat's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20, combined with Miller's prior unopposed reelection and the district's consistent Republican margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles, underpins the market's 94.5% consensus for a Republican outcome. Forecasters across outlets have uniformly rated the race Solid or Safe Republican. Factors that could still alter the result include a broad national Democratic surge, late-breaking developments affecting candidate viability, or unusually elevated turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets of the district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIL-15 Wahlsieger
IL-15 Wahlsieger
$37,437 Vol.
$37,437 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
95%
Demokratische Partei
6%
$37,437 Vol.
$37,437 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$19,364 Vol.
95%
Demokratische Partei
$18,074 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 73.6% of the vote and now faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district. The seat's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20, combined with Miller's prior unopposed reelection and the district's consistent Republican margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles, underpins the market's 94.5% consensus for a Republican outcome. Forecasters across outlets have uniformly rated the race Solid or Safe Republican. Factors that could still alter the result include a broad national Democratic surge, late-breaking developments affecting candidate viability, or unusually elevated turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$37,437Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 73.6% of the vote and now faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district. The seat's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20, combined with Miller's prior unopposed reelection and the district's consistent Republican margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles, underpins the market's 94.5% consensus for a Republican outcome. Forecasters across outlets have uniformly rated the race Solid or Safe Republican. Factors that could still alter the result include a broad national Democratic surge, late-breaking developments affecting candidate viability, or unusually elevated turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$37,437Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 73.6% of the vote and now faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district. The seat's Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+20, combined with Miller's prior unopposed reelection and the district's consistent Republican margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles, underpins the market's 94.5% consensus for a Republican outcome. Forecasters across outlets have uniformly rated the race Solid or Safe Republican. Factors that could still alter the result include a broad national Democratic surge, late-breaking developments affecting candidate viability, or unusually elevated turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets of the district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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